TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4eee…2782

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
612
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: NFL, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 63 out of 100; worst College Football at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST17364.2%111 W · 62 L-0.6wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 173 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$82.8
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+138.1%+$29
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$72
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+61.3%+$76
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$34
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.5
Suns vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$135
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+203%+$134
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Showing 25 of 173 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST11456.1%64 W · 50 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 114 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$69
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Senators vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+37%+$8.1
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+36.1%+$26.49
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$176
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$123
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
NHL Playoffs: Maple Leafs vs. Panthers (To Advance)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+54.4%+$32.1
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.99
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+77.5%+$66.63
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.2
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.3
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$42.11
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Showing 25 of 114 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST9080%72 W · 18 L+13.0wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60.5
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+78.4%+$34.84
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+202.7%+$40.54
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$18.3
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be purple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Saquon Barkley win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will A.J. Brown score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+82.7%+$132.33
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+85.5%+$85.53
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$25.36
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$29
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+43.8%+$35
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST6159%36 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+244.8%+$73.45
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$10.22
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+96.5%+$24.55
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.65
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$454.3
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$51
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.5
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.5
White Sox vs. Angelsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34
Twins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$143.95
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
Orioles vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$16.81
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+31%+$35.5
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+69.3%+$58.94
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+55%+$71
Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.33
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$73.58
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,104.3
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.6
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$26.5
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Will the next Government of Australia be a Labor majority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.8
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,446Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+67.5%+$975.73
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+65.3%+$52.56
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Fine Gael win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.7wins-0.28per pick69cpaid-41%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
College Football — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.6
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.59
Buffalo State vs. Libertybacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$31
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$99.5
East Carolina vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$35
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$35.19
Oklahoma vs. Navybacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$110
Pittsburgh vs. Toledobacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$30
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$61
Northern Illinois vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST-100%-$17.98
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+33.3%+$10.33
Indiana vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Tulane vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+28.2%+$8.74
California vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Navy vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$570
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+107.3%+$41.4
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Brentford win on 2025-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Leicester win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$31
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon Ducks vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.6
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+62.8%+$43.98
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
BYU vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Queens vs. Northern Arizonabacked Queens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.75
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Wisconsin win the Big Ten conference tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20.42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.3%+$104.4
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.5
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$136.96
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+48.8%+$49.19
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
ChatGPT o3 released by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+58.6%+$117.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Grand Chess Tour Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$163
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+45%+$159.15
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+83.8%+$389.46
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$380.74
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$200
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+40.3%+$96.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$20
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump say "Governor" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Trump say "Obama" at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times at Medicare Drug Price Plan Event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
US-China trade deal before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$9.3
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will Trump say "God" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+28.2%+$14.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-45.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-68%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-61.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grimace vs. DoubleYoubacked Grimace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$29.39
Cannonier vs. Rodriguesbacked Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$34.5
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+51.5%+$103.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+72.4%+$34.32
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+38.3%+$41.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$104
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$137.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality win the Intel Extreme Masters Melbourne Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto beat Sporting CP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yokohama FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42.5%+$39.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich beat RB Leipzig?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+25%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$98.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$146
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.