MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e97827f4a15ac1736258e220d882a174bbde9f4174f978fc0396790bb00c2bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Marlins, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,411,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,437,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,411,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 703 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Guardians | 55c | 902,419$492,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410,393.81 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Marlins | 45c | 414,900$186,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186,735.95 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 46c | 207,631$96,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,069.36 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 46c | 189,184$86,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,618 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Guardians | 54c | 41,246$22,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,985.72 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.7wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Marlins | 46c | 36,751$16,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,772.97 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Guardians | 55c | 36,364$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,363.64 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Guardians | 57c | 30,479$17,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,973.01 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians | 54c | 24,240$13,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,150.62 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 47c | 24,000$11,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,280 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 53c | 23,688$12,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,018.52 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Guardians | 52c | 16,369$8,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,805.57 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Marlins | 46c | 15,217$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Marlins | 48c | 14,807$7,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,107.32 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 46c | 14,420$6,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,633.31 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 55c | 14,010$7,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,364.37 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 47c | 13,025$6,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,138.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 42c | 11,254$4,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.33 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 46c | 10,867$5,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.5 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 45c | 10,531$4,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,749.5 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Marlins | 48c | 10,321$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.07 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Marlins | 45c | 10,246$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607.11 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 53c | 10,213$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.27 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…106abacked Guardians | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Guardians | 54c | 9,500$5,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.13 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Guardians | 51c | 8,858$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.6 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Guardians | 55c | 8,781$4,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.59 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Marlins | 58c | 8,314$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.28 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 45c | 8,228$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.8 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Guardians | 52c | 8,050$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Marlins | 44c | 7,440$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins | 46c | 6,661$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.32 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Guardians | 52c | 5,432$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,607.59 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…522dbacked Marlins | 45c | 5,284$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Guardians | 54c | 4,891$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Marlins | 46c | 4,637$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Marlins | 46c | 4,207$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 46c | 4,202$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Marlins | 45c | 4,068$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.5 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Marlins | 47c | 3,726$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Marlins | 46c | 3,467$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.26 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…ce1fbacked Marlins | 44c | 2,550$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 4c | 2,457$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Marlins | 45c | 2,333$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.18 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Marlins | 43c | 2,330$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…9476backed Marlins | 44c | 2,272$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…aa0cbacked Marlins | 51c | 2,101$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.29 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Marlins | 46c | 2,012$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.74 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Marlins | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Marlins | 46c | 1,997$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.15 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf71d…500dbacked Marlins | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e41…6133backed Marlins | 44c | 1,900$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Marlins | 46c | 1,898$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Marlins | 48c | 1,792$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 46c | 1,775$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.32 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…d54ebacked Guardians | 56c | 1,642$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…0c06backed Guardians | 56c | 1,609$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 53c | 1,572$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b10backed Guardians | 56c | 1,571$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 25c | 1,339$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.3 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins | 59c | 1,325$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Marlins | 46c | 1,276$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.82 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…5e16backed Guardians | 76c | 1,239$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Marlins | 20c | 1,203$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.06 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Marlins | 46c | 1,195$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.04 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Guardians | 54c | 1,127$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.31 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 2c | 1,119$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 46c | 1,099$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957d…72b9backed Marlins | 44c | 1,091$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Marlins | 2c | 1,080$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…98afbacked Guardians | 56c | 1,054$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marlins | 46c | 1,046$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…84d8backed Guardians | 56c | 1,046$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…949abacked Marlins | 44c | 1,009$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Marlins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Marlins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Marlins | 51c | 1,000$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.25 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Marlins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…7c48backed Guardians | 56c | 989$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…5fd2backed Guardians | 56c | 961.35$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Marlins | 52c | 942.25$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.29 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…ddeabacked Guardians | 56c | 938$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…8282backed Guardians | 56c | 911$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Marlins | 77c | 873.38$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Guardians | 33c | 868.33$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.48 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Guardians | 25c | 808.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.38 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Marlins | 44c | 801.45$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.19 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 53c | 774.39$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.97 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians | 53c | 722.22$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.22 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Marlins | 46c | 717.39$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Marlins | 46c | 652.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 46c | 648$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.08 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 68c | 598.16$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.95 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 47c | 593.54$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Marlins | 46c | 584$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.64 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Guardians | 54c | 581.61$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.54 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.