TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rangers vs. Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof Rangers, Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,546,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,615,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,546,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 695 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x02d5…88c7backed Rangers40c904,148$359,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359,711.042356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners60c511,247$308,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203,168.931,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners60c121,616$72,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,712.4786751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Mariners60c101,912$61,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,882.5322852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Rangers37c49,783$18,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,367.7918837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e02…817ebacked Rangers40c47,247$19,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,026.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+267.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners60c43,750$26,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,50048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners61c41,000$24,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,14055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Mariners71c35,911$25,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,286.5754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rangers34c35,099$11,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,811.2441747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Rangers39c32,080$12,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,511.0416347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners63c27,852$17,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,371.651,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Mariners60c25,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00017156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners61c22,250$13,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,677.3835952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Mariners63c21,748$13,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,013.434050%20 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Mariners65c19,798$12,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,921.148540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Mariners61c17,475$10,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,815.3650852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners61c16,832$10,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,564.481,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Rangers40c16,070$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Mariners59c14,820$8,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,076.1823545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Mariners62c14,491$9,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,450.338444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners60c13,800$8,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5701,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cc4…f94fbacked Rangers42c12,950$5,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,455.863450%17 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rangers43c11,667$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.0925551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Mariners61c11,384$6,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,439.856258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce0…323fbacked Rangers41c10,526$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,323.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Rangers38c10,414$3,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,957.353150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers39c10,250$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,997.560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Rangers39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9001,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Rangers40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.9941850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Mariners60c9,100$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,64038949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners61c8,988$5,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.5898149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Mariners62c8,245$5,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.8613352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners60c7,643$4,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.2856451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rangers39c7,156$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.7970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners61c6,937$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.722,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Rangers38c6,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9924248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers29c5,617$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.2295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Mariners61c5,180$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.3326056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mariners60c3,852$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.4636047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Rangers41c3,849$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57524154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2bf…2ab3backed Mariners61c3,766$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.632740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers8c3,600$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28642452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Mariners61c3,457$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.7428447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mariners55c3,037$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.611,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Rangers41c3,011$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.2533845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Mariners57c2,489$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.6143946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ee…541bbacked Mariners60c2,484$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Mariners65c2,475$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.4818155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a1c…02edbacked Rangers42c2,200$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Mariners61c2,122$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Mariners57c2,101$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.4411449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Mariners59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b07…8e5ebacked Mariners58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Mariners61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b3…4ca9backed Rangers42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mariners66c1,981$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.029,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rangers39c1,876$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…f88ebacked Rangers42c1,800$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners60c1,751$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.9473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb22…c471backed Rangers42c1,700$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners66c1,508$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.82,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x446e…4566backed Rangers43c1,503$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3797…8150backed Mariners58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rangers1c1,483$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.065053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Rangers4c1,432$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0716725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Mariners64c1,405$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.1232754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3824…a693backed Mariners58c1,400$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rangers41c1,367$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55539160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29b…ec44backed Mariners59c1,356$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.96977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+70.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Rangers35c1,330$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.6511331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbabc…1606backed Rangers41c1,300$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ab…e432backed Rangers41c1,300$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Mariners61c1,300$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9838249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rangers39c1,280$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.21,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Mariners61c1,265$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3513065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners60c1,250$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7a…2170backed Mariners59c1,244$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Mariners61c1,227$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.7240152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Mariners58c1,216$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.487164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Rangers39c1,210$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8111555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Rangers37c1,208$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mariners56c1,182$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.95,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rangers1c1,169$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.625852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ccd…fb6abacked Rangers40c1,100$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ce8…3bd3backed Rangers29c1,100$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x680e…8aa8backed Mariners59c1,032$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed48…51f9backed Rangers41c1,024$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.84650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa899…c1a7backed Rangers41c1,024$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.84825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x233a…5fd2backed Mariners58c1,017$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.14728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3b7…e14bbacked Mariners59c1,016$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.56850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82aa…da7cbacked Rangers40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Mariners59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4105743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Rangers40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Mariners55c1,000$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44811553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe18e…28d2backed Mariners58c983$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+43%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mariners67c920$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.861,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.