NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f1401bb1d74968dc3284b2c5c2319f5d135ce80b6025c89cf0b50b20da610c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof Commanders, Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,103,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,375,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,103,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 487 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Commanders | 43c | 1,251,412$538,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538,601.89 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Falcons | 57c | 425,116$243,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181,564.96 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Commanders | 43c | 348,798$149,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149,983.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Falcons | 57c | 267,964$153,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,770.23 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Falcons | 56c | 267,275$149,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,642.35 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Falcons | 57c | 162,900$92,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,047 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Falcons | 57c | 148,000$84,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,040 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Falcons | 56c | 112,000$62,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,280 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Falcons | 57c | 110,193$62,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,466.82 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Falcons | 55c | 66,739$37,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,700.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Falcons | 58c | 60,000$34,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,200 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Commanders | 43c | 59,143$25,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,574.45 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Falcons | 56c | 54,746$30,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,242.4 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Falcons | 53c | 47,557$25,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,233.33 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Commanders | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Falcons | 58c | 36,211$21,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,208.65 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Commanders | 38c | 30,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Falcons | 60c | 29,759$17,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,789.67 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Falcons | 58c | 28,969$16,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,280.15 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Commanders | 46c | 26,095$11,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,926 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -8.5wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Commanders | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Falcons | 56c | 24,955$13,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,028.96 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Commanders | 39c | 20,003$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Commanders | 42c | 20,000$8,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,436.64 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Commanders | 44c | 20,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Falcons | 64c | 20,000$12,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,206.27 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Falcons | 58c | 19,000$11,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,980 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Commanders | 42c | 17,777$7,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,466.34 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Falcons | 55c | 16,274$8,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,312.36 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Commanders | 43c | 15,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Falcons | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Falcons | 55c | 14,545$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,545.45 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Falcons | 73c | 12,856$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.53 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Falcons | 53c | 12,627$6,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,993.51 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Commanders | 48c | 11,529$5,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,576.72 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Falcons | 58c | 11,227$6,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Commanders | 36c | 10,348$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.55 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Commanders | 29c | 10,265$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.08 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Falcons | 49c | 10,136$4,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Commanders | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Falcons | 56c | 9,911$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.96 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…c877backed Commanders | 52c | 9,619$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d47…d0a2backed Falcons | 55c | 9,455$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Commanders | 43c | 9,110$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.62 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Falcons | 56c | 9,043$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.86 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…e65cbacked Commanders | 45c | 8,890$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Commanders | 11c | 8,702$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.47 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Falcons | 49c | 8,685$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,420.32 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Commanders | 45c | 8,500$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Falcons | 58c | 7,738$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.05 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Falcons | 53c | 7,663$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,593.94 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Falcons | 77c | 7,196$5,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.89 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Commanders | 22c | 7,166$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.57 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Commanders | 52c | 7,000$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.99 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x774a…98f2backed Commanders | 45c | 6,670$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Falcons | 56c | 6,250$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Falcons | 54c | 5,887$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.39 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706f…a645backed Commanders | 45c | 5,552$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Commanders | 23c | 5,155$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.72 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5c…88b0backed Falcons | 57c | 5,144$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Commanders | 1c | 5,064$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Falcons | 64c | 5,003$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.28 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Commanders | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Commanders | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c23dbacked Commanders | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Commanders | 36c | 5,000$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.85 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Commanders | 43c | 4,683$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Commanders | 45c | 4,647$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.1 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Commanders | 30c | 4,615$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…07d4backed Commanders | 46c | 4,607$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…e72dbacked Commanders | 53c | 4,600$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce5…660ebacked Falcons | 49c | 4,599$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…c119backed Falcons | 55c | 4,550$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Commanders | 46c | 4,488$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.51 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…a759backed Commanders | 45c | 4,445$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Falcons | 57c | 4,385$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.71 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Falcons | 77c | 4,379$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.36 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Commanders | 46c | 4,350$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650f…a403backed Falcons | 56c | 4,300$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Falcons | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Falcons | 50c | 4,033$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.54 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Commanders | 57c | 3,967$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.95 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…d360backed Commanders | 38c | 3,960$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Falcons | 52c | 3,859$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Commanders | 55c | 3,713$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.28 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Falcons | 59c | 3,698$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.36 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Falcons | 56c | 3,640$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.6 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…c2d6backed Falcons | 55c | 3,640$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…4488backed Falcons | 55c | 3,640$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…fadebacked Falcons | 55c | 3,637$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…a674backed Falcons | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…5219backed Falcons | 56c | 3,568$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Falcons | 75c | 3,418$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.55 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…53b1backed Commanders | 45c | 3,330$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Commanders | 51c | 3,327$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.02 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Commanders | 36c | 3,285$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.95 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Falcons | 62c | 3,285$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.12 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc6…a7bbbacked Commanders | 44c | 3,252$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…310fbacked Falcons | 57c | 3,252$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Falcons | 56c | 3,200$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.99 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Commanders vs. Falconsthis page
- Commanders vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5Over won
- Commanders vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5Over won
- Spread: Falcons (-1.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Falcons (-2.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Falcons (-3.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Falcons (-4.5)Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.