TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf02…4fdc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Golf at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$959.4
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.3
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.56
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.2
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$2,314.41
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,171Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,171.37
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.75
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,261Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$6,782.35
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+58.9%+$294.44
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$713Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$713
Pacers vs. Nuggetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$545.7
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+47.1%+$320
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+69%+$768.93
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$6,000
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.1%+$1,203.37
Timberwolves vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$153
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,069Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$3,328.82
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+99.6%+$24.9
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,600
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Bengals vs. Packersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$619
Raiders vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,849Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$2,629.78
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+137.9%+$45.92
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+31.3%+$61.73
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$538.46
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+92.9%+$1,859
Spread: Vikings (-2.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-34.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+136.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rutgers vs. Washington: O/U 61.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+39.2%+$62.84
Arkansas vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$35
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.