NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4a3fa28b55b9932b858cc1f0ca39077f1f66ca5e10e7268c8686b8c2f0befd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $980,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,023,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $980,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 592 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Timberwolves | 62c | 130,718$81,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,482.14 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 100,000$66,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,999.95 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Hornets | 37c | 70,091$26,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,213.07 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 34c | 66,110$22,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,477.23 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Hornets | 14c | 62,084$8,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,844.89 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Timberwolves | 62c | 57,917$36,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,726.68 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Hornets | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Hornets | 40c | 27,483$10,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,892.38 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Timberwolves | 64c | 25,000$15,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,125 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Hornets | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,499.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Hornets | 37c | 22,472$8,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,314.57 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…ce5ebacked Timberwolves | 66c | 22,142$14,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,571.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Hornets | 10c | 20,632$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Hornets | 25c | 19,801$5,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.31 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Hornets | 37c | 16,845$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Hornets | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Hornets | 45c | 11,956$5,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,358.93 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 1c | 11,745$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Hornets | 27c | 11,030$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.8 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 10,941$7,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.44 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hornets | 39c | 10,886$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.11 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Hornets | 6c | 10,388$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Timberwolves | 62c | 6,677$4,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.58 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Hornets | 38c | 6,500$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Hornets | 34c | 5,858$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.72 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Hornets | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 5,118$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.99 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Timberwolves | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.99 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hornets | 27c | 4,950$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.9 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Hornets | 43c | 4,732$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.72 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 71c | 4,697$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Hornets | 36c | 4,272$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.98 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Timberwolves | 64c | 4,239$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.15 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Hornets | 8c | 4,088$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Timberwolves | 64c | 3,891$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.23 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Hornets | 32c | 3,753$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.08 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Timberwolves | 64c | 3,378$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.2 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc796…e017backed Hornets | 38c | 3,289$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Timberwolves | 56c | 3,232$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.13 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Hornets | 38c | 3,209$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.4 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hornets | 31c | 3,123$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.54 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 33c | 3,050$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Timberwolves | 66c | 2,995$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.79 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Hornets | 33c | 2,864$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.23 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,780$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Timberwolves | 65c | 2,514$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.31 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…f73bbacked Hornets | 35c | 2,307$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.83 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 35c | 2,302$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Timberwolves | 64c | 2,181$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.36 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 2,046$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.53 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…a53abacked Hornets | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…6d22backed Timberwolves | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 1,932$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.02 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 1,853$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.25 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Hornets | 38c | 1,800$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Hornets | 33c | 1,687$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.74 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…6588backed Timberwolves | 64c | 1,645$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Hornets | 36c | 1,640$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.81 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Timberwolves | 62c | 1,484$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.87 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,421$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.28 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Hornets | 57c | 1,367$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.48 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,265$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.57 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,250$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.61 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…48dabacked Timberwolves | 48c | 1,250$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…955abacked Hornets | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Hornets | 41c | 1,202$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.02 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,125$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.27 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…6102backed Hornets | 34c | 1,095$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Hornets | 46c | 1,095$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Hornets | 47c | 1,080$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.51 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…f975backed Hornets | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd624…0766backed Timberwolves | 63c | 1,022$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Hornets | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Timberwolves | 54c | 996.99$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…ffb8backed Hornets | 34c | 996.53$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73e…f033backed Hornets | 33c | 996.39$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Hornets | 37c | 914.73$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.7 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa546…266cbacked Hornets | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Hornets | 36c | 831.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Timberwolves | 68c | 810$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Timberwolves | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…09a8backed Hornets | 34c | 763.45$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 701.7$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.59 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…05e5backed Timberwolves | 67c | 699.73$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 695$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 57c | 689.28$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.41 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 27c | 679.6$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.72 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Hornets | 38c | 671.81$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Timberwolves | 62c | 639.94$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Hornets | 32c | 624.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Timberwolves | 76c | 617.01$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.31 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Timberwolves | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…c249backed Timberwolves | 63c | 598.41$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…82bbbacked Hornets | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9b…3a4dbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 586.49$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Hornets | 32c | 558.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Timberwolves | 43c | 530.33$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.29 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…077ebacked Timberwolves | 66c | 520.1$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Hornetsthis page
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Timberwolves vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.