TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd735…968e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,512.73
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,794.22
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,469
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14,994
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,454Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$1,342.15
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,756Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.6%+$3,598.1
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14,994Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+91.5%+$13,722.54
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,615Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+101.1%+$2,645.01
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$2,045.45
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+287.6%+$2,876.05
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$996Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$996
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$580
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,653Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+184.7%+$8,593.76
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,987Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+194.1%+$9,680.65
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,488Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+257.2%+$3,827.93
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,994Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+121.3%+$6,058.21
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$623
Warriors vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+420.3%+$1,260.83
Timberwolves vs. Hornetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$458.62
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$288
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$425.93
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$2,285.31
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$4,088
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$468.97
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,760.63
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,029Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,028.73
Sabres vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,799Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+116.3%+$5,581.83
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,108.34
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$9,996Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+104.2%+$10,413.38
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$3,998
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$682
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+26.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+174.9%+$1,574.48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,300
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,885Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$4,930.19
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,159
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+226.6%+$2,814.79
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$352
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+114.3%+$1,370.55
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$3,215.78
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,498Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+173.8%+$4,341.7
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,323
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.59
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO1)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$9,996
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+112.8%+$5,920.21
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$608.92
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+171.9%+$1,717.13
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$5,908.27
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,980Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$3,756.84
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,996Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9,604
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$307.21
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$3,180.55
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-68.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+119%+$1,189.66
Atalanta vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$212.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$4,845
Will Fluminense FC vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$1,325.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$443.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$767.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,009
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$3,633
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.