NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Cavaliers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6285d1fb464accdcd14d13a2d6c72bbbe38171de0d11b6e1a6921afec17e4333

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Hawks, Cavaliers
Resolved: Nov 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $757,885
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $777,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $757,885 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 649 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7b8c…1556backed Hawks	21c	120,000$25,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,199.99	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Cavaliers	76c	70,667$54,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,627.46	474	48.7%231 W · 243 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Hawks	31c	46,375$14,377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,376.92	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hawks	32c	35,122$11,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,239.07	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Cavaliers	68c	35,000$23,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,200	173	54.3%94 W · 79 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Hawks	31c	30,000$9,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,399.97	352	35.8%126 W · 226 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c8…fed1backed Cavaliers	69c	25,000$17,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,750	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x220c…43c8backed Hawks	31c	25,000$7,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,750	71	49.3%35 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Cavaliers	80c	24,582$19,625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,957.14	193	88.1%170 W · 23 L	+48.6wins	+0.25per pick	63cpaid	+46.2%equal weight	75+0.22 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks	30c	22,000$6,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,650	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Cavaliers	72c	19,323$13,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,401.5	471	44.2%208 W · 263 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Hawks	20c	15,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	346	45.4%157 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Cavaliers	71c	14,059$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,059.39	340	62.1%211 W · 129 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Cavaliers	73c	13,477$9,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,660.32	361	48.5%175 W · 186 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers	70c	13,286$9,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,973.87	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Cavaliers	69c	13,270$9,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,144.53	77	39%30 W · 47 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Hawks	27c	11,809$3,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,140.75	260	38.1%99 W · 161 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Cavaliers	69c	11,343$7,881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,462.08	710	52.1%370 W · 340 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Hawks	22c	10,292$2,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,312.99	279	17.9%50 W · 229 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b71…8044backed Hawks	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Hawks	28c	9,878$2,773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,773.36	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Hawks	30c	9,347$2,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,844.32	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Cavaliers	70c	8,141$5,699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,442.43	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Hawks	33c	7,215$2,409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,408.69	169	42%71 W · 98 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hawks	1c	7,203$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.8	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ba…62b0backed Hawks	30c	6,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers	69c	5,870$4,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,848.44	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Hawks	5c	5,493$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.08	192	49.5%95 W · 97 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers	77c	5,270$4,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,219.88	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks	33c	5,035$1,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,663.66	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…4fdcbacked Cavaliers	71c	4,203$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,203.37	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…c1efbacked Hawks	30c	4,142$1,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.5	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.22per pick	34cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1738…eba0backed Cavaliers	70c	3,758$2,631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Cavaliers	70c	3,356$2,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.91	477	51.8%247 W · 230 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Cavaliers	68c	3,229$2,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,034.31	121	60.3%73 W · 48 L	+10.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Cavaliers	65c	3,064$1,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,075.48	98	57.1%56 W · 42 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ae…2c05backed Cavaliers	70c	3,042$2,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$912.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Hawks	17c	3,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Hawks	21c	2,909$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.93	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Hawks	32c	2,817$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.33	430	51.4%221 W · 209 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Cavaliers	67c	2,793$1,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$921.69	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Hawks	28c	2,758$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.95	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	29c	2,743$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.89	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Cavaliers	72c	2,500$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	313	47%147 W · 166 L	-14.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Hawks	26c	2,418$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+4.2wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Cavaliers	75c	2,367$1,773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.85	130	42.3%55 W · 75 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x154c…ce5ebacked Hawks	22c	2,277$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Hawks	29c	2,214$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.84	418	48.3%202 W · 216 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cavaliers	67c	2,153$1,452 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.08	444	59.7%265 W · 179 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Cavaliers	69c	2,132$1,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.07	148	56.1%83 W · 65 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers	78c	2,126$1,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.23	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers	67c	2,100$1,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.11	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Cavaliers	68c	2,000$1,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5237…89babacked Hawks	32c	2,000$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Cavaliers	68c	2,000$1,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640	115	47%54 W · 61 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Hawks	30c	1,969$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.6	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Hawks	32c	1,908$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.51	243	30.9%75 W · 168 L	-11.5wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hawks	3c	1,896$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.62	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Hawks	32c	1,890$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Cavaliers	70c	1,850$1,295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.08	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…870bbacked Hawks	32c	1,850$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb4…d00fbacked Hawks	33c	1,824$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d73…5824backed Hawks	31c	1,819$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.97	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks	28c	1,769$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.6	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Hawks	32c	1,558$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.52	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Hawks	32c	1,529$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.15	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x494f…a363backed Cavaliers	77c	1,520$1,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.51	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Cavaliers	68c	1,414$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.48	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3313…881ebacked Cavaliers	67c	1,355$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.3	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Cavaliers	79c	1,300$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x524b…d563backed Hawks	32c	1,265$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$404.8	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e4…cf0cbacked Hawks	32c	1,200$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Hawks	33c	1,152$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.46	140	42.9%60 W · 80 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers	80c	1,064$849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.83	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Hawks	28c	1,038$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292	667	44.5%297 W · 370 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Cavaliers	69c	1,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+6.4wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b06…449bbacked Hawks	33c	1,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Hawks	33c	1,000$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Hawks	29c	1,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	58	15.5%9 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7052…ba33backed Cavaliers	64c	960$616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers	74c	920.57$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.28	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Hawks	28c	888$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.64	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	18cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks	19c	800$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	510	37.5%191 W · 319 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb465…0981backed Hawks	33c	799.99$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Cavaliers	61c	799.36$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.56	348	52.3%182 W · 166 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5192…b595backed Hawks	30c	795$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Hawks	20c	780$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.4	148	30.4%45 W · 103 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Hawks	28c	779.86$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	390	51.5%201 W · 189 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1176…fcb0backed Cavaliers	68c	760$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-51%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4728…f975backed Hawks	33c	757.58$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	38cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad8b…bdb5backed Cavaliers	68c	750$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Hawks	33c	749$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.7	345	24.3%84 W · 261 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbb…e49fbacked Hawks	32c	721$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.72	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab43…f82cbacked Hawks	37c	708.97$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.32	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Hawks	35c	703.41$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.07	381	51.2%195 W · 186 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3006…ebd8backed Cavaliers	68c	700$476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb148…1684backed Cavaliers	67c	700$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	42cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9573…a981backed Cavaliers	79c	673.46$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.49	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55db…068ebacked Hawks	8c	668.48$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers	74c	665.25$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.45	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Hawks vs. Cavaliers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event