TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff36…e757

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst F1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT11547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+989.7%+$10,000.14
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.61
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.66
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.76
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,520
Will Jalen Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.67
Will Bennedict Mathurin win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.81
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$821.84
Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.06
Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+267.9%+$17,726.6
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,018.14
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10,834Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$12,921.76
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,006.39
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,306Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$3,522.82
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43,665Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$24,813.24
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26,744.94
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11,595Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,594.69
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,133.76
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.46
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,579.52
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29,892Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$18,944.63
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexington: Edas Butvilas vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
Parma: Laslo Djere vs Sebastian Ofnerbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$635.99
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Hunter Heckbacked Hunter Heck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,470.13
ITF Zhengzhou: Junhan Zhang vs Chenting Zhubacked Junhan Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.17
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Max Purcellbacked Jake Delaney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+131%+$3,119.53
Wuning 2: Omar Jasika vs Maximus Jonesbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$307.64
Sarasota: Bruno Kuzuhara vs Andres Andradebacked Bruno Kuzuhara · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.61
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+166.3%+$666.81
Kigali: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Lugano: Ivan Gakhov vs Gabriele Pirainobacked Gakhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+65.7%+$209.97
Australian Open Men's: Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$551
Australian Open Men's: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$340
Australian Open Men's: Dane Sweeny vs Gael Monfilsbacked Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+82.4%+$903.56
Australian Open Men's: Tristan Schoolkate vs Corentin Moutetbacked Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$503.2
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Fery vs Flavio Cobollibacked Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+109.3%+$1,218.15
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Blockx vs Jason Kublerbacked Kubler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,807Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+65.8%+$1,188.27
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$273.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.99
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$245.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua Reach Round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+74.7%+$154.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$102.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$132
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$221.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.