TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed No59c49,823$29,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,391.233951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes41c47,219$19,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,359.6810443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84df…168bbacked Yes0c31,607$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No43c18,448$7,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,544.394949%24 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes41c15,913$6,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,524.517346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c13,804$8,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,286.346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afe…4504backed Yes41c9,484$3,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,888.31520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No59c5,917$3,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.1539746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed No61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.921855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+77.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes1c4,850$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.24318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No59c3,770$2,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.3533851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes36c3,366$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.3914532.4%47 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2302445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes54c2,445$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.9938343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes50c2,174$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.881,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f9b…1fb3backed No59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.991338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c1,920$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.811,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes55c1,639$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.1337544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No47c1,636$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8753860.5%23 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.976139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No60c1,480$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.1622147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No48c1,437$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.7920462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes40c1,163$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.5738043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c1,113$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.8916047.5%76 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed No35c1,090$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0202…e262backed Yes2c1,079$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.081145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb4…a8fcbacked Yes40c1,051$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.3330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39015032.7%49 W · 101 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002035%7 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b0…f9f4backed Yes41c977.56$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Yes41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No64c958.07$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.275246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…27b1backed Yes15c955.47$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.32812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-81.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No37c890.84$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.234542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb36…7afbbacked Yes2c850.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No59c847$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2713151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32813847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes29c752.38$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21710330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba1…2d08backed No34c750$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes41c748.31$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8138748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No70c712.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9115252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28711950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No45c654.04$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.3558248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes42c617.05$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.1613139.7%52 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed No34c600$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3962343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No59c554.96$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5318950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes56c517.59$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.483938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60f…dfdabacked Yes39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Yes41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes66c499.98$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes40c497.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005646.4%26 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1be9…a23abacked Yes64c497.41$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.34425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1231…2a02backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes41c485.37$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1991450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes42c476.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes64c471.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes65c427.58$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.4135860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17625450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed Yes41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1642166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No59c370$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.722547.6%107 W · 118 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes24c328.82$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4915236.8%56 W · 96 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No60c321.93$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.7736851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204045%18 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0148…daf8backed Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked Yes41c292.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d4…ee79backed Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes40c250.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad34…4386backed No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.57924.1%19 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Yes41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b46…188ebacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59e4…3130backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-6.3wins-0.28per pick60cpaid-56.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes42c241$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.222548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc9e…19ddbacked Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes17c227.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.578027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes67c209.68$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786844.1%30 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846147.5%29 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5427…bb86backed Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846154.1%33 W · 28 L+8.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+49.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Yes42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed No34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322540%10 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed No62c197.45$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.458151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb38…b7c7backed Yes41c182.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa16f…540abacked No59c181.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.361637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0a…291cbacked Yes42c178.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfe…8aaebacked Yes41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48c7…fee8backed Yes42c167.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.32742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No63c167.43$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3620343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes19c160$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410947.7%52 W · 57 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No26c157.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.694746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Yes61c156.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.354367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9e…4c66backed Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.