TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c0a…291c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mansur Abdul-Malik win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$153.73
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.45
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Carlos Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+216.8%+$108.42
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$300
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+302.4%+$151.2
Makhachev Parlay - Islam Wins Submission & Fight Lasts Over 2.5 Roundsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$80.77
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+47.1%+$70.59
Brown vs. Bonfimbacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+58.7%+$32.89
Allen vs. de Ridderbacked de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$117.65
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$85.14
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+300%+$150
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$113.16
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$183.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$66.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$40.79
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$123.13
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$204.55
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.89
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$58.88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.8%+$184.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+244.8%+$61.21
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$214.29
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025backed Benn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+138.1%+$138.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Lynn Vision (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+39.4%+$78.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.