La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7d0efd75ef72f0aaf3080cb8319604160014ef7cd40fe988a0f27b831dcf04a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,322,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,584,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,322,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 653 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 67c | 1,344,662$900,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444,067.65 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked No | 33c | 335,134$110,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,594.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 33c | 281,033$92,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,001.26 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 33c | 252,791$83,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83,420.96 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 33c | 201,214$66,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,417.55 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 155,819$27,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,928.15 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 33c | 43,410$14,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,410.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 34c | 42,500$14,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,436.93 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 35c | 36,170$12,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,659.33 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 35c | 33,825$11,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,838.74 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 66c | 31,402$20,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,643.13 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 65c | 28,999$18,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,111.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 35c | 22,913$8,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,019.68 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 69c | 20,373$14,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,359.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 34c | 19,423$6,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,603.98 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 67c | 18,187$12,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,937.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 34c | 17,722$6,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,016.26 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 22c | 16,112$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.54 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 32c | 15,549$4,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 27c | 15,258$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174.38 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 14,771$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025.81 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 14,174$9,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.68 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 33c | 14,000$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 80c | 13,243$10,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.6 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 34c | 13,118$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.36 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 21c | 12,228$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.63 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 33c | 11,098$3,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,662.36 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 22c | 10,887$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.6 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 20c | 10,782$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 67c | 10,448$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 35c | 10,166$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 35c | 10,003$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 35c | 9,200$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.88 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Yes | 80c | 8,065$6,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 0c | 7,580$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 34c | 7,554$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.81 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 74c | 7,508$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 26c | 6,389$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.2 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2923…a6c5backed Yes | 66c | 6,024$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No | 34c | 5,805$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 34c | 5,795$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.91 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 35c | 4,826$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 4,677$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.87 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 65c | 4,649$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.27 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…6201backed Yes | 65c | 4,532$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 35c | 4,417$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 34c | 4,349$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961f…ab51backed Yes | 67c | 4,187$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 33c | 4,096$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.59 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…8c5cbacked Yes | 71c | 3,808$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 33c | 3,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 35c | 3,420$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.96 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 27c | 2,928$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.13 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed No | 35c | 2,714$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.81 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 65c | 2,421$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed Yes | 80c | 2,390$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 33c | 2,343$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.37 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -7.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 66c | 2,274$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.32 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 34c | 2,113$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.21 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 65c | 1,933$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.58 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 67c | 1,889$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.21 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 1,815$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.1 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 31c | 1,805$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.19 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 33c | 1,728$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.22 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 34c | 1,661$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.59 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…0888backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…db41backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 27c | 1,257$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.43 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,215$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf7…9e9abacked Yes | 66c | 1,214$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 65c | 1,183$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 68c | 1,161$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.58 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked No | 32c | 1,113$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.3 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…956ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,083$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…cfbebacked Yes | 65c | 1,072$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Yes | 65c | 1,051$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4675…d7d0backed Yes | 66c | 1,044$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 67c | 1,000$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.45 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed No | 31c | 957.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f0…cbf9backed Yes | 74c | 951.86$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 67c | 949.61$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.49 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 80c | 937.5$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed Yes | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 80c | 894.34$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.87 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…8c71backed Yes | 80c | 884.36$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 65c | 855.5$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.42 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.