TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5773…dc71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid+144.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$169.15
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$320.9
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$111.15
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$122.5
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,703.6
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+1,855.3%+$962.56
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,994.68
Will Mendes be flipped for Portugal Presidential Election by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-69.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,615Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.7%+$1,432.34
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,070
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+203%+$2,030.3
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$446.53
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,787.59
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Nuggets vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$450
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+52.8%+$714.06
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$121.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,574.99
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Game Master (BO3)backed Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$320
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California Golden Bears vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$58.37
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Cornell Big Red · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,103.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55.35
Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,460
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: AaB esport vs OlyBet SB (BO3)backed AaB esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$710
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs FriendlyCampers (BO3)backed FriendlyCampers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$773.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+220.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Euro Basket: France vs Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+220.1%+$494.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,020Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+48.5%+$980.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game 1)backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,404Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+45.4%+$1,091.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$384.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will “KPop Demon Hunters” be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$600
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.