Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International: Alexei Popyrin vs Quentin Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb17970a2970c525b2d84989f468b9adf56c006f3de55a72fe9a13c0436762f74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Halysof Popyrin, Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Halys | 58c | 4,652$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.69 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Halys | 62c | 4,104$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.09 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Popyrin | 63c | 4,029$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.27 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…1ef9backed Popyrin | 45c | 3,513$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Popyrin | 58c | 3,464$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.38 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Popyrin | 6c | 1,757$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Popyrin | 12c | 1,710$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.21 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Halys | 37c | 1,529$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.56 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Popyrin | 9c | 1,507$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Popyrin | 21c | 1,183$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.38 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Halys | 46c | 1,150$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.85 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Halys | 38c | 1,105$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.51 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Halys | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Halys | 58c | 991.57$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.46 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Popyrin | 21c | 980$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Halys | 37c | 793$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.59 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Popyrin | 16c | 746.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Halys | 35c | 732.2$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.73 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Halys | 17c | 666$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.78 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Popyrin | 60c | 595.03$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.24 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Halys | 50c | 554.24$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.44 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Popyrin | 6c | 531$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Halys | 39c | 352.77$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.19 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Popyrin | 57c | 350.45$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Popyrin | 7c | 334.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Halys | 37c | 321.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Halys | 37c | 321.54$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Halys | 67c | 302.86$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Popyrin | 63c | 295.24$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Popyrin | 46c | 294.92$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.16 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Halys | 38c | 269$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Popyrin | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Popyrin | 67c | 244.42$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Popyrin | 63c | 238.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Halys | 46c | 215.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Halys | 49c | 214.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Popyrin | 11c | 207.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Halys | 48c | 206.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Popyrin | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Popyrin | 57c | 171.49$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 659 | 59%389 W · 270 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed Halys | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Popyrin | 30c | 154.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Popyrin | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Popyrin | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Halys | 73c | 139.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Popyrin | 8c | 123.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Popyrin | 59c | 100.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Halys | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…5bdfbacked Popyrin | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked Popyrin | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Halys | 41c | 97.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.79 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Halys | 37c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…ed2ebacked Popyrin | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Popyrin | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…f431backed Popyrin | 63c | 71.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Halys | 34c | 69.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Halys | 42c | 60.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…f1a3backed Halys | 36c | 59.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Halys | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Halys | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Popyrin | 64c | 46.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Halys | 41c | 40.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 643 | 65.9%424 W · 219 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…eff7backed Popyrin | 53c | 36.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b33…5083backed Popyrin | 59c | 36.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Popyrin | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…d794backed Popyrin | 39c | 33.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Popyrin | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Popyrin | 39c | 32.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x262d…33ddbacked Popyrin | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…cea2backed Popyrin | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Halys | 38c | 30.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Halys | 59c | 30.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c9…7863backed Halys | 42c | 28.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…aa9abacked Halys | 64c | 28.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Popyrin | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Popyrin | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 350 | 51.1%179 W · 171 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Popyrin | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International: Alexei Popyrin vs Quentin Halysthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Popyrin vs HalysPopyrin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.