TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2d7…a36d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 25.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST224.5%1 W · 21 L-10.7wins-0.49per pick53cpaid-92.5%equal weight25-0.23 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$247.59
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 22 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+82.2%+$82.2
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Macarthur FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33%+$197.85
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$338.3
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.4%+$114.37
Will Auckland FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.45
All 18 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game Semi Finals)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+91%+$91.04
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$161.54
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$66.28
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.4%+$96.38
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-73.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,695Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+62.4%+$1,057.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Alexei Popyrin vs Quentin Halysbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alanyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$575.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.