Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeaf23428005d58a574c98798116c2cefed6657cea0dfa020d3020aa58d31cbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 2,740$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.51 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 586.93$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.91 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 59c | 506.98$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 406.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6523…89d8backed Yes | 50c | 335.79$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 327.33$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 34c | 260$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 236.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.37 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked No | 45c | 222.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 27c | 201.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked No | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 34c | 194.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked No | 75c | 189.47$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 63c | 179.24$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Yes | 73c | 177$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 17c | 151.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked No | 75c | 142$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 131.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 36c | 130.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 26c | 130$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.36 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 116.65$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 78c | 107.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 86.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 42c | 70.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1389…7aebbacked Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed No | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…105fbacked Yes | 58c | 48.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…30e3backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 79c | 31.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…5cb1backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.