Australian A League · resolved market
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb1561f91819a5002886c1d225a4b80515768532b753f0a0c7c1fdce81d5b6cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 52c | 37,007$19,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,243.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 23,478$11,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,441.17 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 50c | 11,998$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,998.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 47c | 7,153$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.09 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,736$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 1,916$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.74 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed No | 57c | 1,751$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 50c | 1,460$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 70c | 1,387$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.23 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 637$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.19 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 3c | 587.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.42per pick | 14cpaid | +367.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 570$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.77 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 16c | 493.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 459.74$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 26c | 370$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 53c | 360$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.75 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 25c | 307$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked No | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 223.86$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.03 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 33c | 216.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 31c | 209.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…105fbacked Yes | 38c | 201.54$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 55c | 197$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 29c | 168.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 164.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 33c | 150.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Yes | 52c | 146.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 144.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 139.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.53 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 128.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Yes | 44c | 126.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac5…5216backed Yes | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Yes | 79c | 107.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 58c | 91.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 49c | 75.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 21c | 66.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 38c | 62.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…e1c3backed Yes | 50c | 56.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb8…846ebacked No | 53c | 50.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 53c | 47.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 51c | 47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 51c | 46.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 32c | 46.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…45a1backed Yes | 48c | 45.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed No | 61c | 39.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 60c | 38.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…1c3dbacked No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…1ef9backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 38c | 36.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…0ed2backed Yes | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Yes | 50c | 20.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.