Australian A League · resolved market
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c910c8198b586d0107ef9ab3a4ee7ba8509b2a1d7ced7da5e9900fac26434ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 8,453$6,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.82 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 4,447$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.76 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 3,828$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.67 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 26c | 3,138$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.92 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 28c | 1,278$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…1252backed Yes | 26c | 1,038$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…3d6abacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 861$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.47 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 26c | 757.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 752.97$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.04 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 27c | 740$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 74c | 684.46$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.96 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 661.37$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 648.68$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.04 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 606.9$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 74c | 563.46$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 27c | 550$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 527.69$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.47 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Yes | 27c | 518.52$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…e0fdbacked Yes | 26c | 465.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 25c | 418$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 73c | 394.24$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 24c | 347.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 5c | 344.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 263.32$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 24c | 252.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 27c | 207.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes | 20c | 187.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 21c | 142.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 17c | 126.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 25c | 125.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…51d1backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 24c | 97.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 76c | 91.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 25c | 67.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 25c | 62.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…105fbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 28c | 59.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 55.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 76c | 52.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb3…1e58backed Yes | 24c | 51.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 26c | 42.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 74c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 75c | 33.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 75c | 18.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed No | 76c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 74c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.