TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$410,920
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,920 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes42c291,428$123,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167,764.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No58c151,207$87,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,187.752040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No57c111,110$63,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,888.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Yes49c24,099$11,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,331.761844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed No52c20,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c18,389$8,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,704.2313933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No51c14,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c7,687$4,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.1928659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c7,067$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.2733444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7caf…058bbacked Yes43c6,295$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,587.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked No57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No53c3,766$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002040%8 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes46c3,401$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.3919345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No54c3,085$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c3,057$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.5746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Yes46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked No55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed No52c2,383$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.221735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes48c2,188$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked No52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No55c2,000$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No53c1,952$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed No54c1,900$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Yes47c1,253$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.091952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No57c1,180$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No2c1,100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No57c1,100$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No10c1,095$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.543941%16 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No46c1,015$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.3316858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No56c999.95$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes73c967.63$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.9122652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes50c941.29$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.3422852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes69c934$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.326969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No57c899.97$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed No51c630$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.31338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+104.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked No56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No58c512.09$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.648051.3%41 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes50c500.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.12842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes52c484.98$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.843773%27 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c470.8$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No57c461$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.775558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed No54c455.56$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2462166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked No50c452.11$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed No58c450$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No57c448.38$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0910448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc6…314abacked No50c438.68$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a69…7b8fbacked No31c351.75$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c342.07$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.343748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked No30c339.8$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick25cpaid+260.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No55c324.79$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8330055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes48c303.33$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1597536%27 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes43c299.96$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.015255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No19c276$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.412156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Yes74c270.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed No59c267.84$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes75c266.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.731931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed No58c257.83$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22ad…c3c9backed No56c246.75$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No52c222.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.951154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes49c222$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.22875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c1e…42fbbacked Yes47c220$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No28c217.13$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.782634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No58c215.5$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.021478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d7…a36dbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.775933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes49c210.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.28050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1086746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1056344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c195.28$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed No25c194.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked No52c192.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed No57c190.68$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…de18backed Yes73c189.33$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.691172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes47c186.43$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.811844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked No53c186.05$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked No55c181.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0085…77cbbacked No58c173.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd925…3ab5backed No60c166.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9058…a2c2backed No30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+33.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bed…54f6backed No53c165$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Yes44c161.18$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes76c160.19$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.194163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked No51c154.35$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes72c139.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.341225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked No58c137.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x114e…d7e3backed No18c134.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7140%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked No59c134.46$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes71c132.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7112532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed Yes75c132.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-55.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No27c127$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.733345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed No30c118.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.772254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes44c116.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.522152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.