TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b84…de18

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$16.59
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+566.7%+$65.39
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500.96
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+52.2%+$534.22
Will Fulham FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$134.16
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$206.95
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$54.66
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$22.91
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$43.24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$324.49
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.9%+$92.64
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.4%+$115.27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.4%+$6.42
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$135.27
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$562.45
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$593.06
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$348.27
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.62
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$11.12
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.06
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$90.04
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$198.92
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.6%+$30.46
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25.2%+$252.99
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+31%+$45.3
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.55
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26.18
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+25%+$51.77
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 17 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$153.67
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$147.64
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.97
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$195.42
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.2%+$147.79
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$101.89
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$65.31
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+37.6%+$51.69
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.26
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+64.5%+$154.87
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.8%+$72.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$58.36
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$45.65
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.3%+$75.59
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$78.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$236.69
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$234.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Dons vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$29.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs ARCRED (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.