TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac75…1319backed No39c27,091$10,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,526.91683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes61c17,714$10,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,805.61580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+53.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c9,896$5,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,870.7798844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No59c5,300$3,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.8646644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65012055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes61c3,749$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,287.491428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes61c3,663$2,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes60c3,281$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b33…3d6abacked Yes28c1,660$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a2…5f83backed Yes61c1,370$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes14c1,300$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes63c880.85$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.5730055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c861.7$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.2547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd328…973dbacked Yes61c820.87$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No39c763.33$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.383537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedcd…f7cfbacked Yes8c727.51$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0328…9514backed Yes11c707.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Yes30c703.33$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112050%10 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Yes61c600$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes62c597$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.5813933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Yes53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0d2…0853backed Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes61c540.66$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.819345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbc…3b01backed No39c508.37$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed No40c450$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+67.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.677435.1%26 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes61c350$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.510448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b84…de18backed Yes56c348.96$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.421172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c328.74$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes61c310.58$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.992035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes55c302.11$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1656850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes61c299.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1837536%27 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4651…8da8backed No39c266.91$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No40c251.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.738050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c241.32$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3833444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes61c234.57$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.09933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes61c210$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.111858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb30c…6cefbacked Yes16c202.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.42330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5c…dba2backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2367…c5b3backed Yes43c185.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df1…2da7backed Yes54c184.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No69c182.9$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9614843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked No51c178.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.464667.4%31 W · 15 L+13.1wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+90.8%equal weight71+0.18 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No58c169$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.524946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No37c168.68$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.12245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes61c163.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes61c163.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes62c162$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.443073.3%22 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d50…1fdebacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Yes44c159.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc9f…f2bbbacked No40c157.5$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes46c155.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.412842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes61c155.45$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956650%33 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked No40c125.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No39c120$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.24744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No74c107$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3112532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614626.1%12 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602213.6%3 W · 19 L-6.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-72.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5fae…688abacked Yes40c98.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes61c90$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.95945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb48c…ab11backed Yes60c88.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes61c80$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.84852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Yes61c77.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No56c77.32$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.284242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d0…c927backed Yes53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes60c68.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes53c66.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.137425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c1…1c3dbacked Yes62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No39c64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.046955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c76…0d35backed Yes36c63.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes63c61.46$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.721855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+84.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Yes61c57.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes61c52.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed No77c52.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.952770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.54858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Yes53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…592bbacked Yes60c49.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No59c49.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3111063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8918…f4e4backed Yes35c44.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5340%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3df0…7eb8backed Yes61c44.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes61c42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4150%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes40c40.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b6d…ece3backed Yes62c36.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No39c34.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.362653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f8…9908backed Yes62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727e…b35dbacked Yes56c32.14$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed05…6d34backed Yes54c31.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5c7…dd7cbacked No39c30.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked No40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f3…bb19backed Yes65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6737…109abacked No40c29.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f36…d137backed No39c27.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+90.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.