TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3fb4…d481

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
471
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 63 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT6241.9%26 W · 36 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BK Hacken vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.03
Djurgardens IF vs. AIK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
IF Brommapojkarna vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Orgryte IS vs. AIK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$20.12
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.84
IFK Goteborg vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
GAIS vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
AIK vs. GAIS: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Djurgardens IF vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
GAIS vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hammarby IF vs. Kalmar FF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Orgryte IS vs. BK Hacken: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.67
FC Volendam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.6
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.67
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Gaziantep FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96.48
Tromsø IL vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Randers FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$171.56
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.37
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$110.88
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT6159%36 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$22.97
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.6
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
FC Tōkyō vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.33
Ulsan HD FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.81
FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$7.86
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.67
FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$24.64
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT5754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$106.08
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.54
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$110.5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-24.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90.45
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.4
Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$93.7
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.54
Spread: Raptors (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94.47
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90.45
Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$101
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86.43
Nets vs. Heat: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94.46
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$101.28
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100.5
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT5349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$106.3
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$117.13
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96.48
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.57
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94.47
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$102.51
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.66
Watford FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
Watford FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100%+$150
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$155.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$133.02
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$162.5
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Stoke City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+115.7%+$46.3
Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.63
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3959%23 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$656.9
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$209.19
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$110.5
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$345.68
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+257.2%+$361.92
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.36
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.97
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$204
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120
1. FC Nürnberg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$14
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100.45
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$118.8
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Will SC Preußen Münster vs. VfL Bochum end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+244.8%+$122.41
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.9%+$8.96
1. FC Köln vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
SV 07 Elversberg vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31
1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
SC Preußen Münster vs. Karlsruher SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$32.4
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.58
Minnesota United FC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Toronto FC vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.55
New York Red Bulls vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
D.C. United SC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.98
D.C. United SC vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.51
New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.29
San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.11
Real Salt Lake vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.31
Real Salt Lake vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Charlotte FC vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.35
Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Toronto FC vs. New England Revolution: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.5
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
St. Louis City SC vs. Real Salt Lake: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Orlando City SC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.52
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$187.19
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.32
Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.38
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.39
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$120.5
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$73
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+28.2%+$44.22
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$60.6
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Adelaide United FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Melbourne City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Adelaide United FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Perth Glory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$73.3
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.02
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$150.36
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.99
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.43
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.39
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.61
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$114.91
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$101.28
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$109.72
CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.28
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$205.26
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$183.38
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$85.26
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.16
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$94.47
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$150
SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$57.93
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
SS Lazio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+78.9%+$78.9
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$76.36
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.91
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Udinese Calcio vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Cremonese: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.1
US Lecce vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$81.6
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.01
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.61
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.9
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$9.03
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Côte d'Ivoire 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.07
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.73
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.56
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$43.7
Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.43
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$128.01
Poland vs. Albania: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.58
Slovakia vs. Kosovo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Türkiye vs. Romania: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.6
Will Nigeria vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+203%+$134.77
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.35
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$64.6
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92.46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.9
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84.42
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$106
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
AFC Ajax vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
PSV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 16 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Botafogo FR: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$93.24
SE Palmeiras vs. Grêmio FBPA: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$89.91
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.2
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.51
CA Paranaense vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96.48
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$165.55
CA Mineiro vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CF América win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$69.49
Mazatlán FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$36.67
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+194.1%+$97.06
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$29.18
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+65.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$98.94
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$133.11
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90.45
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$183.05
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94.47
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.5%+$168.67
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$109.2
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$58.45
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. FC Metz: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$36.26
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$90.73
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$244.61
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.44
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80.4
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$73.33
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.