Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c32277726965f1e22f8a5be23d75b7a95b0157a2b8591accb51d008bf84f466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,676 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.93 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 3,902$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.3 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 3,427$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.98 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 2,967$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 1,240$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.11 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 46c | 1,023$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.74 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 29c | 894$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.26 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 28c | 864.88$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.05 | 113 | 26.5%30 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 53c | 846.41$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 5c | 806.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 4c | 493.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 43c | 477.85$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.49 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Yes | 43c | 436.91$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 386$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 303.89$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 43c | 300.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.56 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 57c | 289$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 253.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.5 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 59c | 204.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked No | 7c | 188.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 183.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 57c | 176.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 57c | 104.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 96.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d73…c96cbacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6e…d737backed Yes | 44c | 80.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked No | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked No | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 52c | 55.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Yes | 44c | 52.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 56c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed No | 51c | 44.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 43c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 32c | 33.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 57c | 30.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 44c | 30.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 56c | 28.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed No | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 70c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Yes | 71c | 17.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will FC Fredericia vs. Randers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.