Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x057d53dc0af36182f78307e7cb771702f8bff084c3fc8c277bdb71c00a46c8ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $825,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $825,331 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6d9…305ebacked No | 68c | 479,348$325,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,892.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 32c | 141,887$46,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,020.09 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 136,185$43,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,374.73 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 64c | 89,426$56,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,540.65 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 32c | 72,467$23,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,266.33 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 51,559$16,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,877.82 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Yes | 25c | 35,571$9,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,005.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 32,027$10,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,884.48 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 34c | 25,515$8,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,685.54 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 24,168$7,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,854.56 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 64c | 15,478$9,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,572.03 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 33c | 15,066$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.46 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 14,352$10,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.46 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 68c | 9,996$6,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…cce0backed Yes | 33c | 9,843$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 23c | 9,589$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.24 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 22c | 8,839$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 6,545$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.04 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 33c | 6,018$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.76 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 37c | 5,667$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.52 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 36c | 5,638$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.24 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.89 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 63c | 4,705$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.93 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 32c | 4,688$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 64c | 3,363$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.67 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 36c | 3,333$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.88 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9f…3282backed Yes | 36c | 3,154$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 71c | 3,017$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.6 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 30c | 2,770$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 24c | 2,739$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 28c | 2,617$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.74 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 76c | 2,346$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.08 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 20c | 2,140$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 2,014$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.64 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 34c | 1,668$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.12 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 34c | 1,662$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.11 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Yes | 31c | 1,620$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 32c | 1,486$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 66c | 1,481$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.46 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…8f46backed Yes | 15c | 1,460$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 37c | 1,400$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 34c | 1,185$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.05 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,124$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.76 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 36c | 1,051$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes | 30c | 989.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes | 20c | 842.93$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 32c | 731.25$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.38 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 37c | 729.86$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.05 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 35c | 714.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 19c | 649.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 31c | 640$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 31c | 630$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 36c | 599.98$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Yes | 18c | 596.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 37c | 568.09$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…a6a7backed Yes | 34c | 541.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 32c | 505.1$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.07 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 27c | 496.3$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 446$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Yes | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 10c | 433.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 21c | 429.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…1317backed Yes | 35c | 414.78$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 64c | 402.87$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.03 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 398.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…df3cbacked Yes | 36c | 373.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 27c | 371.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5f5abacked Yes | 35c | 370$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 34c | 367.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 64c | 358.07$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 28c | 350.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068b…2106backed Yes | 32c | 344.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 34c | 343.47$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 34c | 341.27$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 24c | 334.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 24c | 334.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3962…b521backed Yes | 33c | 333.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…c0d2backed Yes | 34c | 320.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…795abacked Yes | 37c | 317$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 36c | 301$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…d830backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.