Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ee26064f4a72b696a3f89fe2cca6d00919808cf9ffd2533d11ded7120d9193d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,582 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked No | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 16,149$9,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,953.83 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed No | 38c | 9,943$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes | 30c | 6,878$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814.55 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 5,573$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.61 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 3,876$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.73 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 69c | 3,707$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 64c | 2,607$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.52 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 15c | 2,416$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.92 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.98 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 29c | 1,897$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 1c | 1,757$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 18c | 1,526$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.15 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 71c | 1,215$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.46 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed No | 70c | 1,050$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 29c | 758.62$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed No | 16c | 693.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked No | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed No | 69c | 640$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 6c | 638.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 544.35$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.97 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Yes | 29c | 532$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e5…f012backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed No | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 29c | 474.48$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.88 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 69c | 445.8$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 58c | 429.09$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb927…a469backed Yes | 29c | 412.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 62c | 403$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 377.66$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.14 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 29c | 362.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 7c | 356$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 72c | 355.22$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.76 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 29c | 344.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 75c | 340.22$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…b02fbacked Yes | 34c | 339.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 29c | 326.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.6 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 71c | 299.21$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…267ebacked Yes | 32c | 298.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +209.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 42c | 283.33$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 29c | 271$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.41 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes | 29c | 254.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 253.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.94 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked No | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 23c | 222.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed No | 12c | 199.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 48c | 193.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 27c | 173.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…2281backed Yes | 29c | 172.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 18c | 168.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x020a…4b8abacked No | 72c | 158.09$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 33c | 138.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 29c | 138.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes | 74c | 137.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d77ebacked No | 72c | 133.31$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 29c | 121.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…33f9backed No | 72c | 121.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…e838backed Yes | 73c | 107.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…75b6backed Yes | 68c | 107.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…f0f4backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 71c | 101.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…4761backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…a6a7backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 39c | 90.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 27c | 85.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 64c | 77.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 35c | 70.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 30c | 68.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…de43backed Yes | 30c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 71c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…21d0backed Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 69c | 59.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked No | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 29c | 53.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed No | 29c | 52.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.