Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42a84db5b9b3fd72fd12b37e78ca81920d18f7adf1023c4bdab1471b3eb3f8e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,571,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,571,591 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6d9…305ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,309,391$497,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497,386.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 62c | 279,192$173,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,093.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 63c | 205,200$129,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,924 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 62c | 100,000$61,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 63c | 92,435$58,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,200.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 62c | 83,819$51,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,851.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 62c | 80,012$49,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,404.74 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 62c | 79,275$49,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,092.98 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 35c | 69,320$24,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,041.37 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 61c | 65,830$40,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,551.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 62c | 65,808$40,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,006.96 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 63c | 56,971$35,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,219.58 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 37c | 56,238$20,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,807.69 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 48,269$30,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,683.94 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 45,245$29,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,589.33 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e6…5448backed No | 62c | 32,657$20,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,409.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 63c | 32,567$20,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,189.88 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 64c | 22,434$14,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,078.78 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 22,032$15,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,631.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 62c | 19,902$12,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,583.35 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 61c | 17,695$10,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,901.05 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 63c | 15,123$9,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,595.46 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 15,103$9,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.22 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 36c | 14,891$5,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342.33 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 62c | 14,042$8,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,335.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed No | 62c | 14,000$8,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…e27fbacked No | 62c | 10,600$6,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 63c | 8,600$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.55 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 62c | 7,590$4,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 65c | 7,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 62c | 5,979$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 62c | 5,711$3,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked No | 62c | 4,055$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed No | 61c | 3,975$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 62c | 3,738$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.21 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536a…d21dbacked No | 62c | 3,180$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 27c | 2,916$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.01 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 62c | 2,433$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.75 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 65c | 2,300$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 36c | 2,276$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.38 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 2,227$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.48 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Yes | 27c | 1,812$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.91 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 64c | 1,535$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.25 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed No | 68c | 1,470$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 73c | 1,425$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.24 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 63c | 1,097$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.89 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Yes | 31c | 1,065$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.85 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.11 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 36c | 986.21$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.04 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 63c | 958.08$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.49 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 19c | 857.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 16c | 829.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…8b5bbacked No | 65c | 800.05$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 666.1$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.14 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 66c | 637.88$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.88 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 600$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed No | 65c | 599.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffe…ce5bbacked No | 66c | 567.01$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 36c | 562$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.14 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…5657backed Yes | 33c | 532$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…18aebacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Yes | 38c | 526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 34c | 499.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 62c | 481.27$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a1…8f46backed Yes | 21c | 477.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5e…d655backed No | 62c | 473.77$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 453.14$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.29 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 65c | 450$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 444.19$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 74c | 444$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 34c | 432$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 65c | 350$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…132bbacked Yes | 27c | 345.33$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed Yes | 36c | 321.86$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa7…c3b5backed Yes | 8c | 315$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.