TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3520…1fa0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
304
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT12334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$331
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,294
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$574.73
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+304%+$3,040.4
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$2,200
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.64
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,515.88
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$757.42
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+570.2%+$741.23
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.61
Will FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)backed Qairat FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,951.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$746.52
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$750
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,056.78
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,015
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$677Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$677.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$398.05
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$603.25
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+173.3%+$693.05
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$958.77
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$1,251.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$445.77
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+131.8%+$672.21
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$406.06
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Exact Score: Getafe CF 0 - 1 RCD Mallorca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Getafe CF 0 - 0 RCD Mallorca?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$307.91
Will Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,285.71
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+365.7%+$1,569.05
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.71
Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.84
Real Oviedo vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$962Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$962.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+291.1%+$2,474.54
Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+181.6%+$1,180.14
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.61
Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+166.2%+$1,445.79
Will CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Real Oviedo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$531.25
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$638.12
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$389.51
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+70.4%+$351.96
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,155.28
Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.18
Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.95
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$1,861.4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$432.46
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,518Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+86.2%+$6,483.55
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$350
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+566.7%+$1,700
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$90
All 22 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Serie A — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$403
Will Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$612.9
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.52
Will US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$2,865
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$575
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$761
US Cremonese vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$428.46
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$545.42
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.67
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.85
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)backed SS Lazio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$458.44
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$615Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$503.18
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$613
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$620.75
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$485.29
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$520.41
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$600
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$416.95
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$970
Spread: Clippers (-16.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.4
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)backed Olympique de Marseille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.43
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$828.34
OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$932.54
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.54
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,066.67
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.13
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,066.71
Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$478Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.1
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.78
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$125
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.05
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$524.77
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$641Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$640.6
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$669.23
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$173.37
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Partizanbacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.72
Saski Baskonia vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+169.6%+$1,865.38
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.81
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.