TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes32c19,811$6,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,291.463815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No74c17,509$13,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,487.1696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yes31c12,053$3,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,736.431030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No68c9,498$6,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.42766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No69c8,300$5,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5732138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c5,689$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.5568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No69c5,687$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.976567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No69c3,125$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.851963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c2,848$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.8293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes26c2,212$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5751915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No67c1,533$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.231963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes15c1,513$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23012731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No69c1,458$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.97966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c1,449$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.6741144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes31c1,265$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1641954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fa…19f2backed No69c1,232$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.923100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes23c983$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0919952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No69c982.66$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c934$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c913.64$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.942,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6764…ae37backed No69c864$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No69c829$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes31c800.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes29c777.48$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c777.01$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.141,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a6c…b36abacked No69c768$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.08366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes25c755.73$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7122743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7740…cd28backed No69c754$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.744100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed No69c742.03$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.031936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked No69c688$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a1a…4b44backed Yes29c687.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c687.41$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.133951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes26c680.88$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5232650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes23c555$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6514651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No68c500$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7820452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes25c500$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242548%12 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Yes25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Yes41c499$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.134339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes23c455.57$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No69c420$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.236456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf3…05f6backed No69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No62c383$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.094852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c382.13$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2839354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No69c381.7$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No69c354$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.743754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes22c343.13$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4914159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Yes22c339.11$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.465054%27 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes22c334.51$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5919154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes23c327.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.378453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes23c327.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.344746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes23c327.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3417354.3%94 W · 79 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes23c325.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.975154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes23c319.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3815244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes23c319.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3814752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes23c318.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3611346.9%53 W · 60 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No69c302.87$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes17c302.72$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.13324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+67.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed No67c290$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.72166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed No69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf79a…6112backed No69c268.76$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes27c261.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes33c243.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.492642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68e…85e5backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x68ba…8552backed Yes22c226.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes40c225.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9431738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes28c210.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.996850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes31c209.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.513146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f8…ef29backed No69c202.72$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.844100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes21c190.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3126241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes31c189.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.892055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13ad…241bbacked No68c177.27$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.732240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+49%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed No69c173.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.912254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Yes22c173.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.15556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes27c168.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.011435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f04…4e5fbacked No70c166.71$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.56560%39 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad9…ea6fbacked No69c148$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc948…59b7backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes25c145.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6618253.8%98 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5a…87eebacked No69c144$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc425…fd02backed No69c142$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1760…3ff4backed No69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c7…d376backed No69c138$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed No69c134.07$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.563666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10aa…37e4backed No69c134$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cca…6acebacked No69c131$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd0f…27d7backed No69c125$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.