TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$243,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$265,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,631 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes29c35,000$10,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,117.023815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-57.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c32,485$23,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,103.7468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c27,182$20,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,556.632,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe5…b317backed No73c15,274$11,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,123.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c11,485$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,240.7548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No72c11,000$7,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.973354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes19c7,422$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.4396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes28c7,080$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.31850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No71c6,113$4,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.286567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No71c6,000$4,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0f…325dbacked No73c5,068$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.49366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.981030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc18a…7c09backed Yes28c4,886$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3681233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+80.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No67c4,692$3,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.832650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes22c4,140$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92012731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No72c4,000$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1207560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.997248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes28c3,673$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.447546.7%35 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No80c3,468$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.2693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes29c3,100$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.513517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-72.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Yes27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed Yes27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No72c2,922$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.115160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c2,890$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.7798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed No71c2,829$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked No71c2,532$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.22250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes25c2,011$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.991414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes33c2,005$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.747240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c2,005$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.5349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404337.2%16 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c1,929$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.7541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed No70c1,790$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.12661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes28c1,749$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.8326040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c1,675$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.4435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes30c1,642$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4910940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No70c1,545$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.5614651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Yes30c1,524$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes30c1,516$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.871250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes4c1,477$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8616819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.3113445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes30c1,398$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.961241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes19c1,343$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes28c1,250$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes34c1,114$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.731428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.034472.7%32 W · 12 L+7.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27060%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd493…0c64backed Yes4c993.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes35c890.79$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.433923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes29c877.11$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8415244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes29c871.86$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.844746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes29c871.86$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8414752.4%77 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No70c824.9$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4722551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes28c739.82$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.1521650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007837.2%29 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c655.56$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1143058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c647.28$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8544753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No77c583.96$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.122743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes20c566$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.563420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes23c516.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.54632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1407558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Yes28c500$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.251540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes15c486.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2226241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No75c478.13$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11920452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefe8…dc05backed Yes33c469.7$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No70c435.67$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9536456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed No71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.542161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.677163.4%45 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18e1…5916backed Yes33c416.09$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.311233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed No73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961650%8 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No76c408$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes13c400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528229.3%24 W · 58 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Yes29c399.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No71c378.44$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7510451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe8…3684backed Yes28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc826…fcb3backed Yes28c351.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.451643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.228453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes29c342.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.881827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No73c338.52$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.44353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ed0…07e5backed Yes30c333.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes7c315.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No68c311.97$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.815168.6%35 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes33c304.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+44.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9eb…aee9backed No71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae22…8794backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf40a…29e7backed No73c285.37$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed No71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes24c268.66$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes27c253.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.332445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No72c249.26$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7919154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes30c243.33$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.