TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5113…f0ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
312
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
20

Best Category: Boxing, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 57 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT4632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$325
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,033.58
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.54
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Aston Villa finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$242.5
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.99
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+300%+$375
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$149.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$345
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$205
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$355
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$395
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+316.7%+$759.61
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,550.58
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.83
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$375
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$378
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.48
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$174
Argentina to win the second half?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$126
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$122.99
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
France to score first vs. Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.92
Senegal to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$819.99
Will Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$314.99
All 25 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.45
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$108
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$175.2
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.42
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$127
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$184.99
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+320.5%+$846.2
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+136.5%+$472.18
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$103.47
Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Georgescu banned from Romania election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$318
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$790
Will the CDU/CSU win by less than 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will the AfD win more than 26% of the vote in the German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$135
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$24.57
South Korean President impeached in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST-100%-$342.82
Will USR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$72
Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$141
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$365
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$125
FIFA Club World Cup: Will Vinicius Junior score another goal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$127.99
Will Chelsea win Group D at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.97
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$231
Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$437.64
Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+222.6%+$190.44
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+316.7%+$152
Will Real Madrid beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$92
Will Stade Brestois beat Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$87.86
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30.26
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+61.3%+$380
Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23.95
Will the Rizzler appear in a Super Bowl LIX Commercial?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$62.4
Will Elon Musk attend Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+100%+$50
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$116
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LIX be clear/water?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$28.36
The Portnoy Parlay - Super Bowl LIXbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Travis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift at Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$36.63
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$346
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Travis Kelce score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$120
"It's Scripted" KC Comeback Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+27.9%+$56.75
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Humble" first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Will the Chiefs face the Eagles in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$160.62
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-61.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$63.84
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Trump trade deal in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.67
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.6
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.9% on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.83
Will Trump make English the national language?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will $Trump FDV be $50b or more on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$159.99
Judge issues restraining order to block Trump's funding freeze by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$186
Trump cryptocurrency executive order on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+28.2%+$44
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$367.33
All 16 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$204
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$144
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
F1 Belgian GP: Alonso vs. Stroll backed Stroll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+203%+$44.22
F1 Belgian GP: Piastri vs. Norris backed Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$7
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Red Bull have the 2nd highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.33
Will Red Bull Racing record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will McLaren record the fastest lap at 2025 F1 Winter Testing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40.94
Will Sergio Perez leave Red Bull?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$44
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$92.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$389.99
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.97
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.85
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+270.6%+$365.1
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$129.99
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+316.7%+$380
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$225
Will FC Metz win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$155
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$129
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$210
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.75
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.3
Zelenskyy puts on a suit by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11.37
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" 5+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+122.8%+$92.24
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+54.2%+$139.82
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.87
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$74.8
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will US Lecce win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+143.9%+$295
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.3
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$385
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$225
All 11 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-33.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+87.4%+$25.43
Will another player win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.26
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+92.9%+$288.99
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+38.9%+$74.21
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$17.06
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$70
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$57.5
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$161.5
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 13 of the World Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Ding Liren win Game 8 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$95.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.77
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$219.99
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Luguentz Dort record the most total made three-pointers in the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+274.4%+$53.08
NBA Finals: Will any player record a triple double?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Finals G5: Will Haliburton score 17+ points against the Thunder? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
NBA Finals G5: Will SGA score 35+ points against the Pacers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.7
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+135.3%+$287.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$390
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.6
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will FC Drita win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will SK Brann win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$109.85
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+317.6%+$1,587.87
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+145.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok banned in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+185.7%+$260
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+177.8%+$320
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will it rain in LA by next Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.