Music · resolved market
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0041709dfdd0d8ae214fd1859b07c899ccd998522d82407e871d0028d792de5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,191,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,810,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,191,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 4c | 482,826$20,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,920.75 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 2c | 482,053$10,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,961.16 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 3c | 103,393$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.73 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Yes | 5c | 101,216$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.86 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 3c | 90,396$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.37 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…19c1backed Yes | 4c | 90,325$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 77,191$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.67 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…5b28backed Yes | 3c | 70,095$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.25 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 1c | 69,379$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.7 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 2c | 62,343$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.32 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 3c | 60,412$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.69 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 55,000$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.78 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…bb84backed Yes | 3c | 50,515$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.71 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +323%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 42,586$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.37 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes | 3c | 40,803$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked Yes | 5c | 31,195$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +168%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…c5dfbacked Yes | 3c | 31,141$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…69cdbacked Yes | 2c | 25,259$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +1,933.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 6c | 22,769$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.84 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 22,182$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.54 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…c2a3backed Yes | 6c | 20,930$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +356.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…13e6backed Yes | 3c | 20,577$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 3c | 20,363$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.94 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Yes | 3c | 18,823$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 3c | 18,683$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.56 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 2c | 18,300$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.26 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 17,504$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.78 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +530.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 3c | 17,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 5c | 17,197$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.32 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…7b60backed Yes | 1c | 16,156$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 15,687$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.64 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked Yes | 3c | 15,422$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 1c | 15,357$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e9…5394backed Yes | 2c | 14,741$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 13,669$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes | 2c | 13,567$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.31 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 13,546$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…9a5ebacked Yes | 1c | 13,324$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 4c | 12,555$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.05 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 12,161$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 2c | 11,876$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 3c | 11,750$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.92 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…5708backed Yes | 1c | 11,407$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 4c | 11,150$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 3c | 11,133$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 2c | 11,051$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 3c | 10,614$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.59 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…fbf9backed Yes | 1c | 10,176$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d07…06f2backed Yes | 1c | 10,160$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…d974backed Yes | 2c | 10,150$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 10,142$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 1c | 9,891$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a87…c533backed Yes | 1c | 9,782$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 3c | 9,450$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes | 3c | 9,428$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yes | 2c | 7,999$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5071…59c8backed Yes | 0c | 7,922$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…cf55backed Yes | 4c | 7,882$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 1c | 7,646$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 4c | 7,477$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.32 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddb…9ffabacked Yes | 1c | 7,340$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…0728backed Yes | 2c | 7,261$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…0536backed Yes | 3c | 7,134$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…fea1backed Yes | 1c | 7,016$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -68%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9e…64e8backed Yes | 4c | 6,948$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes | 2c | 6,793$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 1cpaid | +1,415.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…6d75backed Yes | 1c | 6,713$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…728cbacked Yes | 2c | 6,445$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 1cpaid | +1,487.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…2884backed Yes | 0c | 6,291$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 3c | 6,176$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.03 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 5,748$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 4c | 5,635$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.59 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…22e4backed Yes | 1c | 5,514$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 3c | 5,513$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…d762backed Yes | 1c | 5,444$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a48…497ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,266$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b1…3ef7backed Yes | 1c | 5,247$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…fb66backed Yes | 3c | 5,238$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 3c | 5,223$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…d2cdbacked Yes | 3c | 5,181$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed Yes | 3c | 5,147$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 4c | 5,109$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.23 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56a…cc72backed Yes | 1c | 5,085$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +4,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…a2f3backed Yes | 1c | 5,075$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…4ccfbacked Yes | 2c | 5,035$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 2c | 5,015$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89d…7249backed Yes | 2c | 4,912$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc90a…b957backed Yes | 4c | 4,878$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…3b89backed Yes | 2c | 4,764$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Yes | 2c | 4,733$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…945bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,726$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,666$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.81 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…a065backed Yes | 5c | 4,631$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +600.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 3c | 4,540$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…2497backed Yes | 2c | 4,359$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 3c | 4,340$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…471abacked Yes | 2c | 4,326$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ff…b114backed Yes | 2c | 4,315$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f68…7e97backed Yes | 2c | 4,189$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.