Music · resolved market
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92fe546f73bbe6f2c1e6f5ad8ebfc78c2b9ae4a45ae9c89269118bae045e3a2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,802,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,530,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,802,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 324,975$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.09 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…0216backed Yes | 0c | 192,487$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 177,868$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.37 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 145,468$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.93 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 1c | 103,857$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.14 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed Yes | 0c | 101,992$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4784…bb76backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 0c | 88,607$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.41 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 79,998$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 1c | 68,698$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.17 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 65,768$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.27 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 63,670$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.43 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b4…cc72backed Yes | 0c | 58,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 56,003$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…fe1abacked Yes | 0c | 47,950$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 0c | 43,939$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 39,998$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 0c | 32,523$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…f048backed Yes | 1c | 27,117$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…f859backed Yes | 0c | 25,091$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +1,204.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 24,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 1cpaid | +1,134.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 20,529$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…c780backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…efeabacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 0c | 19,702$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 1c | 17,808$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 14,332$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…43a7backed Yes | 1c | 14,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +412.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…ffd6backed Yes | 0c | 13,560$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +376.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 12,350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 2c | 11,291$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…c1dcbacked Yes | 1c | 11,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b76…3a40backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…aa05backed Yes | 0c | 10,530$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,330$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +451.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 1c | 10,257$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 10,200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…ada7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…62b2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…cfc7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…2357backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…cfebbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…8157backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,773$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 7,450$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 7,170$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 0c | 7,100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…1a5ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,976$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,950$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 2c | 6,810$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.22 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 6,554$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 6,200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 5,824$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 5,750$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,535$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 2c | 5,374$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 5,312$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03d…d98cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…412bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,105$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 1cpaid | +4,445.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd291…2db7backed Yes | 1c | 5,079$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a7…c2e4backed Yes | 0c | 5,077$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…66a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,060$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…80f2backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +738.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 4,950$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2350…d7e4backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 0c | 4,374$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,370$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 0c | 4,233$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…cd27backed Yes | 1c | 3,963$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 3,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 0c | 3,760$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bf…bba5backed Yes | 1c | 3,636$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed Yes | 1c | 3,626$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63e…8679backed Yes | 1c | 3,495$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…28c7backed Yes | 1c | 3,466$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 2c | 3,091$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…98eebacked Yes | 0c | 3,088$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…a05abacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc310…1972backed Yes | 2c | 2,925$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0677…2a28backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…d762backed Yes | 1c | 2,466$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…324dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,204$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…b30cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,185$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…2d35backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…e7f0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4565…cb4ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…5350backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…efeebacked Yes | 1c | 1,979$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.