Music · resolved market
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebea087687d29abcfc7ff807e68790c32b8aca18ff33d196ece0f54282b306b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,420,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,495,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,420,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 901,392$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.15 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 0c | 304,988$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.96 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 169,999$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…0216backed Yes | 0c | 165,879$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 103,502$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…2264backed Yes | 0c | 82,315$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 0c | 50,110$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 0c | 46,999$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 3c | 43,167$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.79 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…997fbacked Yes | 0c | 39,380$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 33,667$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 29,990$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 0c | 28,614$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 0c | 27,103$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +1,037.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 0c | 26,925$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 23,667$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 22,748$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 1cpaid | +1,134.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 1c | 22,043$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…4dc9backed Yes | 0c | 20,556$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…6a87backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 0cpaid | +1,986.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 19,999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Yes | 0c | 19,999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 17,029$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 1c | 16,976$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 0c | 16,724$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 16,620$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…89efbacked Yes | 0c | 15,879$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 15,246$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…0effbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…5ff7backed Yes | 0c | 14,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578b…ca8ebacked Yes | 0c | 14,329$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 12,530$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 12,350$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,750$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 0c | 11,615$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 11,505$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.79 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…2d35backed Yes | 0c | 11,200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 11,150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b76…3a40backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff60…bb86backed Yes | 0c | 10,220$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 0c | 10,202$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4df…4c65backed Yes | 1c | 10,150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…7375backed Yes | 1c | 10,120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…b6cebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…efeabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…5cadbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…62b2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…17ddbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…2250backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…5921backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…526dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,816$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddb…9ffabacked Yes | 0c | 9,230$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 0c | 8,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…cfebbacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b1…f2e9backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 3c | 6,854$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 6,740$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 6,700$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…80f2backed Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 0c | 5,683$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 5,499$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 5,228$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…32f9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa1…7c65backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 4,950$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 0c | 4,950$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,803$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…efeebacked Yes | 0c | 4,311$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…83cabacked Yes | 0c | 4,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 3,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 3,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 0c | 3,893$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…88bebacked Yes | 1c | 3,795$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 0c | 3,700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…d681backed Yes | 0c | 3,700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…a05bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,636$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…9227backed Yes | 0c | 3,262$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8175…b96cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f1…8404backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…991abacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 1cpaid | +1,751.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…fdf1backed Yes | 0c | 2,987$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 2,950$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…dfbabacked Yes | 0c | 2,898$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,830$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48e…225ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,820$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…642cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,793$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d3…3dc2backed Yes | 0c | 2,790$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…bbf5backed Yes | 0c | 2,768$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23c…cd90backed Yes | 0c | 2,753$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d64…ef38backed Yes | 0c | 2,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c3…a019backed Yes | 0c | 2,730$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.