Music · resolved market
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a7bd9d29ac01f579c0c6c8eb7b2add40f82ba8000c783eccf08fd4b565442fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,849,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,095,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,849,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 523,639$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.16 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 470,467$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.24 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 0c | 334,422$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.61 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 277,606$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.82 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…0216backed Yes | 1c | 236,315$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 164,568$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.7 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 141,143$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.01 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…cfebbacked Yes | 0c | 128,510$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1263backed Yes | 0c | 121,051$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 0c | 102,365$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.83 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 99,999$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…908bbacked Yes | 0c | 67,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 1c | 63,649$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.59 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 0c | 63,223$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.45 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes | 0c | 55,051$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed Yes | 1c | 54,999$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 0c | 49,002$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.34 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 39,261$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 0c | 34,130$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.65 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 1c | 33,693$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.05 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…9417backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b3…6bf7backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…fab9backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c62…cd27backed Yes | 0c | 21,487$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…efeabacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdb…d762backed Yes | 0c | 15,044$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 14,365$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 0c | 13,630$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 1c | 13,352$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…6ac3backed Yes | 0c | 12,636$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…4154backed Yes | 0c | 11,759$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 1cpaid | +2,677.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…6e2cbacked Yes | 0c | 11,167$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e2…e7f9backed Yes | 0c | 11,167$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x221a…5ff0backed Yes | 0c | 10,170$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…a909backed Yes | 1c | 10,139$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…205abacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 7,900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e7…db75backed Yes | 0c | 6,993$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 6,989$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc56…a41fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,865$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…2b17backed Yes | 0c | 6,714$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 6,632$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5db7…0a30backed Yes | 0c | 6,563$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5c…f7e9backed Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…80f2backed Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…3177backed Yes | 0c | 6,218$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…f3fdbacked Yes | 0c | 6,123$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b1…27cbbacked Yes | 0c | 6,035$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…7153backed Yes | 0c | 5,716$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ec…d39abacked Yes | 0c | 5,643$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,310$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +451.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 1c | 5,300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 0c | 5,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 5,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 1c | 5,183$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…a01abacked Yes | 1c | 5,170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…33b3backed Yes | 1c | 5,170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b99…9f1dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,098$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd291…2db7backed Yes | 1c | 5,076$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9b…7a04backed Yes | 1c | 5,010$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…728cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 1cpaid | +1,487.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…fbfabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…1ae5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…c7a7backed Yes | 0c | 4,990$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 4,982$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…2ecdbacked Yes | 0c | 4,975$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 0c | 4,931$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…3be1backed Yes | 0c | 4,904$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +414.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 3,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 3,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 3,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 3,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 3,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 0c | 3,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 3,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…e7bebacked Yes | 0c | 3,850$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 0c | 3,713$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…d9eabacked Yes | 0c | 3,583$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…893dbacked Yes | 0c | 3,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 1c | 3,344$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…be54backed Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 1c | 3,277$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 0c | 3,240$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf968…84bdbacked Yes | 0c | 3,170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…a05bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd183…0de7backed Yes | 0c | 2,968$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…e386backed Yes | 0c | 2,965$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…4f9abacked Yes | 0c | 2,938$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…efeebacked Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb384…73cebacked Yes | 0c | 2,853$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…93b1backed Yes | 0c | 2,848$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.