Music · resolved market
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe06579f1a7e5108e31c4cc69cca54c7d8d1b0ae507a9e465222f3c490e77793f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,032,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,538,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,032,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 943,382$3,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.17 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 1c | 245,521$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…0216backed Yes | 1c | 127,697$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1263backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 70,108$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.01 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 69,999$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 1c | 50,284$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.48 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 1c | 37,283$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.88 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 36,031$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.12 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 29,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 1c | 25,582$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 24,969$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Yes | 0c | 24,227$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 1c | 22,167$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes | 0c | 20,119$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 1c | 16,863$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 1c | 16,022$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…cf02backed Yes | 1c | 16,013$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 1c | 12,983$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ae…4609backed Yes | 0c | 11,835$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…eb2bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,321$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…d080backed Yes | 0c | 11,268$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 1c | 11,230$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 1c | 10,673$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…9bf2backed Yes | 1c | 8,669$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…acf6backed Yes | 1c | 8,651$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 0c | 8,633$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +1,766.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa1…7c65backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147b…03bcbacked Yes | 1c | 7,250$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…c231backed Yes | 1c | 6,743$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 6,286$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,910$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +451.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,506$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 5,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea2…ad65backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 1c | 5,390$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…a2fdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,091$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…efeabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…57c2backed Yes | 1c | 4,950$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 1c | 4,900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 4,574$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…80f2backed Yes | 1c | 4,167$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…304cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…e23bbacked Yes | 0c | 3,790$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…50e5backed Yes | 1c | 3,600$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +449%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 3,599$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…89b0backed Yes | 1c | 3,290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 1c | 3,231$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…12c8backed Yes | 1c | 3,212$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6e…e326backed Yes | 1c | 3,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…7d4abacked Yes | 3c | 3,174$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e3b8backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…a05abacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 2,904$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecd…64aebacked Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 1cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…4f14backed Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075c…5541backed Yes | 1c | 2,333$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 1c | 2,246$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,093$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…12e6backed Yes | 1c | 2,015$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…dd30backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…bd03backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddb…9ffabacked Yes | 1c | 1,806$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…8fd8backed Yes | 1c | 1,720$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2c…15c4backed Yes | 1c | 1,589$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,524$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…e7f0backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +250.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 1c | 1,337$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 3c | 1,250$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,126$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…f529backed Yes | 1c | 1,114$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 1,011$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 3c | 999.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 971.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6baf…3766backed Yes | 3c | 771.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 4c | 626.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 2c | 623.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…aa0dbacked Yes | 4c | 454.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…8f03backed Yes | 22c | 443.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.