TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd62…50e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Music, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Music at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.85
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.15
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$19.35
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.85
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+368.1%+$38.47
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$64.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.1%+$11.21
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.1
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.6
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$24.6
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$8
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+72%+$43.94
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$25.13
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$35.22
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+449%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$54.25
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.65
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.45
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+62%+$48.75
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.95
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.7
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+240.1%+$165.89
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.7
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.35
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+8,405.9%+$4,140.6
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$6.98
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+170.9%+$25.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.