TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof LYON, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$713,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$824,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $713,520 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 546 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked LYON51c61,968$31,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,434.8555955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked LYON67c40,278$26,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,378.122,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Team Liquid53c40,000$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,20012759.8%76 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed LYON47c31,915$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,914.883154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bdd…23dcbacked Team Liquid50c31,322$15,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,529.3117163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Team Liquid53c30,000$15,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,899.996861.8%42 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Team Liquid54c23,909$12,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,810.611,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid53c21,612$11,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,532.0164155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed LYON59c20,606$12,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,365.643,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Team Liquid53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.9612850%64 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed LYON51c16,521$8,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,133.9839749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid53c15,560$8,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,246.7931153.4%166 W · 145 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked LYON46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,099.9710446.2%48 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Team Liquid53c14,940$7,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,918.396454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…a75fbacked LYON46c14,761$6,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,970.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd359…6007backed LYON74c13,594$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,593.852240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed LYON46c13,043$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,043.171,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LYON49c11,043$5,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,684.771,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d4…b6e5backed Team Liquid0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Team Liquid53c8,642$4,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,580.22638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Team Liquid54c6,666$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.642512%3 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Team Liquid28c5,971$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6936237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked Team Liquid58c5,902$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40028166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Team Liquid54c5,291$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+53.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed LYON47c5,022$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.595028%14 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-35.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed LYON47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,65082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Team Liquid53c4,749$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.86363.5%40 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Liquid43c4,620$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00022547.6%107 W · 118 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Team Liquid33c4,525$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.751457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed LYON55c4,404$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.8567931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed LYON52c4,071$2,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.6543442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Team Liquid29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1601464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Team Liquid53c3,766$1,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.7314247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Liquid26c3,725$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.051,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed LYON78c3,668$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.1925547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Team Liquid34c3,668$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.76556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Team Liquid45c3,537$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.7113136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Team Liquid29c3,517$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.097343.8%32 W · 41 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Team Liquid42c3,511$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.5253640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed LYON72c3,511$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98569756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Team Liquid54c3,510$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.540370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Team Liquid54c3,333$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.8220035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked LYON47c3,298$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.8717537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed LYON47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.492281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+60.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Team Liquid28c3,092$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.2618451.6%95 W · 89 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cae…a00abacked Team Liquid53c3,019$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.856063.3%38 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Team Liquid54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…c2d9backed LYON50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed LYON46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62042148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x063a…8382backed LYON46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.931963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed LYON75c2,840$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.812060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Team Liquid50c2,832$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.8818350.8%93 W · 90 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Liquid53c2,829$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-59.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed LYON59c2,800$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.3514554.5%79 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Team Liquid31c2,605$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80013557%77 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked LYON46c2,586$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.672646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed LYON52c2,577$1,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.1915243.4%66 W · 86 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked LYON46c2,400$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29644550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Team Liquid29c2,390$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.16432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Team Liquid56c2,373$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked LYON66c2,340$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.959952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid19c2,218$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.281,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked LYON47c2,204$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.919238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed LYON46c2,180$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,179.953850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed LYON62c2,148$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.832,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed LYON47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6610044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked LYON52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.993627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed LYON47c2,000$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.9828240.8%115 W · 167 L-16.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Team Liquid53c1,944$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.473946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Team Liquid54c1,936$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.489348.4%45 W · 48 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Team Liquid52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016745.5%76 W · 91 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid49c1,889$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.512,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Team Liquid48c1,822$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.7412454%67 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Team Liquid28c1,816$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.7238624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x511a…68bebacked LYON52c1,726$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.376045%27 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed LYON46c1,670$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.4813344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed LYON49c1,604$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.7430247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked LYON47c1,596$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.7428150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc352…a152backed LYON59c1,527$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.952454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed LYON47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79582554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed LYON46c1,442$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.171,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Team Liquid47c1,440$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.321827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b0…4f93backed Team Liquid24c1,302$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed LYON70c1,279$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.3625560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked LYON47c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.682161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed LYON47c1,250$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.51,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed LYON47c1,242$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.262263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed LYON61c1,238$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.7916241.4%67 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d7…3942backed LYON47c1,236$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.088760.9%53 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed LYON53c1,219$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.541347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed LYON49c1,213$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.3627636.2%100 W · 176 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed LYON48c1,207$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.7466445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed LYON69c1,145$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9594134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc796…6669backed Team Liquid53c1,134$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed LYON48c1,134$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.4211443%49 W · 65 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x057a…1e61backed Team Liquid22c1,131$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked LYON70c1,130$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.124852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Team Liquid46c1,124$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.4342735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a8c…f872backed Team Liquid54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015754.8%86 W · 71 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed LYON44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61676953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.