TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LYONof LYON, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,678
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$245,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,678 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid57c50,427$28,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,739.1664155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked LYON43c47,139$20,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,870.7255955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team Liquid6c20,300$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1811,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Team Liquid37c10,757$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.0125446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Team Liquid57c10,500$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,984.9966437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid14c7,764$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.611,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Team Liquid1c7,195$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9544843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed LYON42c6,182$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,585.561,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed LYON43c5,500$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1351,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc144…abc7backed Team Liquid46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.983514.3%5 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed LYON72c4,833$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.241,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team Liquid49c3,987$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.21,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed LYON63c3,823$2,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.4213344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed LYON43c3,509$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.11,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed LYON67c2,945$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.9550569.9%353 W · 152 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Team Liquid37c2,751$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.4125547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Team Liquid40c2,496$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed LYON45c2,471$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.3263546.6%296 W · 339 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed LYON71c2,356$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.562060%12 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Team Liquid9c2,241$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5394134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid18c1,481$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.011,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed LYON43c1,422$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.7128361.5%174 W · 109 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed LYON78c1,287$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.6141060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5860…020bbacked LYON75c1,279$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3113360.2%80 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ce…3c79backed LYON46c1,239$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+61.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Team Liquid40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.991,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed LYON43c1,174$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.4210044%44 W · 56 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…f614backed Team Liquid1c1,136$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.362934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed LYON60c1,003$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.6548353.4%258 W · 225 L-19.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed LYON42c999.97$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9913946%64 W · 75 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Team Liquid59c891.42$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.891,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e23…761dbacked Team Liquid23c888.01$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9620537.6%77 W · 128 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid19c844.06$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.062,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked LYON69c800.45$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1419150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Team Liquid50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011950.4%60 W · 59 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcad2…c9e4backed LYON63c708.51$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.2827248.9%133 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed Team Liquid33c700$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23211631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Team Liquid31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2173842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefae…5cd1backed Team Liquid59c651.94$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.932755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed LYON43c616$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.121,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LYON49c610.79$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.791,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb734…fc38backed LYON49c607.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.967568%51 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Team Liquid32c602.05$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.546237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed LYON44c563$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.912,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Liquid28c558.75$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.321,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid17c543.29$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.511,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Team Liquid54c542$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.365742.1%24 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3740…f3efbacked Team Liquid22c518.01$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.079435.1%33 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Team Liquid57c510.32$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.881,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed LYON43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28524240.9%99 W · 143 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Team Liquid30c500$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15230050.3%151 W · 149 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Team Liquid58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29014936.9%55 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked LYON73c479$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.071,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed Team Liquid31c477.14$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1484327.9%12 W · 31 L-6.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-54.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked LYON43c471.78$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.721,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed LYON66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5541945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2f…552cbacked Team Liquid30c450$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13716349.7%81 W · 82 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Team Liquid55c444$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.21,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ac…ae05backed Team Liquid44c443.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.362429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Team Liquid26c410$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.674462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Team Liquid28c409.16$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.561,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed LYON56c386.4$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.021,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Liquid46c377.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.2663161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed LYON65c363.42$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.421,24152.7%654 W · 587 L+5.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed Team Liquid43c359.98$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.5979151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked LYON60c352.82$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8259241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Team Liquid42c333.33$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14026453.8%142 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed LYON64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.536260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Liquid57c311.95$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.8130856.5%174 W · 134 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked LYON50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,00949.2%496 W · 513 L+30.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed LYON58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed Team Liquid9c300$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2621028.1%59 W · 151 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Team Liquid38c279.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067919%15 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed LYON58c277.27$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.9924065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd872…7fd5backed Team Liquid25c260$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Team Liquid24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033736.5%123 W · 214 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Liquid39c250$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1266445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcbe…e27ebacked Team Liquid37c246.08$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.721963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed LYON43c230$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.11,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed LYON44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2757151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8542…9405backed Team Liquid9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018910.1%19 W · 170 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe46a…f06abacked Team Liquid60c211.28$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266159%36 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3fbd…c4e4backed Team Liquid41c203.39$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3952538.9%204 W · 321 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked LYON43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11486649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Team Liquid30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014544.8%65 W · 80 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09cf…d623backed Team Liquid38c199.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Team Liquid54c192.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10495551.7%494 W · 461 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0106…0e63backed LYON54c177.11$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1111954.6%65 W · 54 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed LYON57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4415062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed LYON34c171.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.821,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked LYON45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.671,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Liquid34c150$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.517143.3%74 W · 97 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked LYON69c143.15$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.991566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Team Liquid12c137.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.641766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked LYON74c135.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0641453.4%221 W · 193 L+1.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid28c130$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Team Liquid40c126.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3815930.8%49 W · 110 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed LYON67c122.52$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9553753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked LYON40c120$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Team Liquid30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.48241.5%34 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.