Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x219ba5367d8b73198ed6c3eeabafc6291a1918b4ee333edb5e922bf9dc4f1f6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bb3…727bbacked Under | 59c | 582.52$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.02 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Under | 48c | 419.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.2 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Over | 52c | 303.42$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 463 | 39.5%183 W · 280 L | -37.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Over | 14c | 299.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Under | 46c | 268.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Under | 44c | 204.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 57c | 140$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Over | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 46c | 95.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 55c | 95.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…85debacked Over | 55c | 95.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Under | 44c | 94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 50c | 59.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd9…51e9backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Over | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 61c | 42.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…df5abacked Under | 69c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 49c | 38.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…2985backed Over | 56c | 35.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…fec7backed Over | 59c | 31.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Under | 50c | 21.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1722backed Under | 72c | 21.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 61c | 19.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.