Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7548faa0414432d5848d94014ab847015ea91fbcb3f0b52b5afa474e22877783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Team Liquid | 58c | 8,439$4,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,873.98 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed LYON | 42c | 4,545$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.1 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed LYON | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed LYON | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…705bbacked LYON | 42c | 800$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed LYON | 42c | 651.74$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.01 | 637 | 46.5%296 W · 341 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed LYON | 32c | 572$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.76 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Team Liquid | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked LYON | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked LYON | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked LYON | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed LYON | 43c | 177.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847d…2505backed LYON | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed LYON | 42c | 97.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked LYON | 43c | 88.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed LYON | 52c | 81.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Team Liquid | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.