Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0529ffd1fc3c42eca7f1b11d345de6cb0a5a71969c0ee88d7d37f3738a8aac05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 25c | 748.14$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…7921backed Over | 75c | 205.33$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 23c | 142.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed Over | 77c | 129.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 75c | 106.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a2…d77abacked Over | 75c | 82.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd531…470fbacked Over | 77c | 82.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 68c | 71.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Under | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 22c | 67.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…6cf2backed Over | 75c | 66.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd641…0635backed Over | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…97ffbacked Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb88…41b0backed Over | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c3…7551backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…f934backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa889…ebcdbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…461cbacked Over | 75c | 25.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…2b52backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…281bbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 4 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.