TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa889…ebcd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
251
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT19256.8%109 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 192 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$125.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$104.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$77
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$41.05
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$75.83
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.25
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$20.1
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$65.8
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.44
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Showing 25 of 192 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+503.8%+$282.02
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.12
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$98.9
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.45
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.51
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$35
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$62.7
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$112.65
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.68
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$91
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$35.95
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.25
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Sweden vs. Poland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.61
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.42
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$53.93
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$30.75
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$65.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$71.87
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.65
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$72.14
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.26
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60.85
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7.26
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$5.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.