TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$644,034
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$739,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $644,034 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3982…2befbacked No0c130,291$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.885042%21 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed No0c74,056$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No0c35,585$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.767758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No30c33,281$10,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,103.31,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No1c33,011$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.515653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No0c26,772$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8810852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c13,583$3,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,924.431,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No27c12,021$3,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.933647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No1c10,159$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.918644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes73c9,862$7,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.322268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes73c8,702$6,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.665152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No0c8,449$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d9c…4695backed Yes71c7,000$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed No27c7,000$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.991625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No29c6,846$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.4188137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No29c6,547$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.744247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No28c6,466$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.572334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba23…0b69backed Yes70c6,119$4,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.451656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab5…2663backed Yes71c4,908$3,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.791050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes70c4,600$3,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.989757.7%56 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes72c4,290$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+61.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No27c4,177$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.2899435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Yes71c3,922$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4233…b16cbacked No29c3,821$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.73850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No29c3,303$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes70c3,109$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.773948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101915.8%3 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-72.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81011443.9%50 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ca…6e94backed Yes73c2,705$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.651172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes70c2,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.987750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No29c2,432$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.431342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No29c2,395$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.698647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No29c2,164$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.6941553%220 W · 195 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes71c1,843$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.0713261.4%81 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa124…ff5dbacked Yes72c1,807$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.94988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+44.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes71c1,725$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.261952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No30c1,623$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.13551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes63c1,600$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.873116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes70c1,430$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4296533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b09…13d3backed Yes71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.452450%12 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes72c1,366$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.475928.8%17 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes71c1,345$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.4123637.3%88 W · 148 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked No25c1,322$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb357…2587backed Yes71c1,262$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed No31c1,231$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.641330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes72c1,224$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.711266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7587…3afebacked Yes72c1,180$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.361844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes71c1,156$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.122065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x473c…4f61backed Yes71c1,103$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x442d…f7bebacked Yes70c1,065$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5721…6746backed No31c1,050$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No29c1,025$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.129659.4%57 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes71c1,024$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.857050%35 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes72c1,014$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9714642.5%62 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed No27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.013141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079a…3ef8backed No30c991.8$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed No29c990.41$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.221457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No28c901.7$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7841238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes65c900$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3153740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed No29c878.24$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.591145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No30c847.17$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.154562.2%28 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87f0…0303backed Yes73c817.3$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No29c785.07$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.673548.6%17 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Yes69c725$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Yes70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.292147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x295b…0f1dbacked Yes70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes71c700$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2039924.2%24 W · 75 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.442360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…ed8dbacked Yes72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.44560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe132…ca8dbacked Yes72c682.78$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.18825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa371…60c5backed Yes72c682.78$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.183863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No29c660.24$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.474129.3%12 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x353f…bdd4backed Yes70c643.01$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.611258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Yes71c634.21$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.211957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes71c634.16$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.911838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid-30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No31c623.29$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.222161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1806…5234backed Yes74c610.31$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.312152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No27c600$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1629149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No29c592.63$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.156553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No29c578.85$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0463150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No31c558.92$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.272552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked No21c539.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes70c539.92$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.975949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes72c537.15$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.41533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc7…b45abacked Yes71c528.17$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Yes71c520$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.81080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked No29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504276.2%32 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+17.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes72c495.76$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.815362.3%33 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes72c490.44$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.751275%9 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x485d…771ebacked Yes71c466.55$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes70c463.29$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.99757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No29c457.85$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.692657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65e…dbc1backed No30c455.88$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Yes70c446.84$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed No22c439.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Yes70c439.64$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.89887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No31c423.62$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.882634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.