Champions League · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5644d92ac2247fde045239efae3707c2c5dbcdbb12ec9d8b51153f32045bf556
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Saint-Germain FCof FC Bayern München, Paris Saint-Germain FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Bayern München | 2c | 6,997$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed FC Bayern München | 19c | 5,177$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.72 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed FC Bayern München | 36c | 4,103$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.97 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 2,859$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed FC Bayern München | 17c | 1,644$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.57 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 80c | 1,134$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.75 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 1,080$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Bayern München | 7c | 989.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed FC Bayern München | 19c | 952.5$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed FC Bayern München | 30c | 899.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed FC Bayern München | 11c | 756.45$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…3f7bbacked FC Bayern München | 19c | 607.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…79b6backed FC Bayern München | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed FC Bayern München | 12c | 586.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 79c | 548.97$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076a…7fc1backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 522.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 70c | 522$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…fda1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed FC Bayern München | 21c | 465.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed FC Bayern München | 19c | 320$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 292.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 80c | 258.2$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 631 | 50.2%317 W · 314 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…f286backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 64c | 215.38$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 63c | 209.77$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 199.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 875 | 31.1%272 W · 603 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked FC Bayern München | 19c | 193.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 189.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…4aedbacked FC Bayern München | 21c | 172.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 78c | 157.85$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…ed83backed FC Bayern München | 21c | 156.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed FC Bayern München | 19c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked FC Bayern München | 22c | 136.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed FC Bayern München | 16c | 119.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked FC Bayern München | 21c | 105.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Bayern München | 21c | 105.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 142 | 20.4%29 W · 113 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…95c0backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 104.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed FC Bayern München | 19c | 103.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed FC Bayern München | 38c | 102.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed FC Bayern München | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 99.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed FC Bayern München | 37c | 97.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…5e6dbacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked FC Bayern München | 23c | 92.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…d702backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 80.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 75.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 72.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…fe55backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 72.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 70.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…e84dbacked FC Bayern München | 19c | 68.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…3e81backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…920fbacked FC Bayern München | 18c | 60.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…4e31backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…fb5fbacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743c…c386backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…1be9backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed FC Bayern München | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc778…ff0fbacked FC Bayern München | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…7cb7backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…9ad1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 64c | 36.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 77c | 30.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…9b70backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 65c | 30.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 61c | 26.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 75c | 26.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 65c | 20.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 80c | 20.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 79c | 16.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 80c | 15.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5Over won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Paris Saint-Germain FC won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.