TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x775c…e84d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+323.6%+$245.97
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$80.28
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.9
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$79.02
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.95
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$43.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$54
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.52
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$35.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.38
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$45.67
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.79
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.05
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$54.36
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Angers SCO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$47.15
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+77%+$30.76
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.42
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+214.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+529.2%+$428.64
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$68.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.