Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7094db568258141ea3dc892caf9f81c7e8991b757c6aa067335f410d3aeeb8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Bayern Münchenof FC Bayern München, VfB Stuttgart
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed VfB Stuttgart | 53c | 19,724$10,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,453.54 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked FC Bayern München | 47c | 19,052$8,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,122.3 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 11,224$5,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,037.12 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 10,000$4,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,211.98 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed VfB Stuttgart | 54c | 6,784$3,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.14 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 6,447$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VfB Stuttgart | 62c | 6,244$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed VfB Stuttgart | 55c | 6,115$3,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,342.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed VfB Stuttgart | 56c | 4,061$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.44 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed VfB Stuttgart | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked VfB Stuttgart | 54c | 2,837$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.3 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FC Bayern München | 46c | 2,283$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.82 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed VfB Stuttgart | 56c | 2,278$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.42 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed VfB Stuttgart | 64c | 2,056$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.4 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Bayern München | 41c | 2,053$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.11 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 2,002$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.04 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…b0e1backed VfB Stuttgart | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 1,782$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.16 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed FC Bayern München | 47c | 1,692$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.88 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed VfB Stuttgart | 8c | 1,463$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142b…c8c9backed FC Bayern München | 28c | 1,380$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed VfB Stuttgart | 63c | 1,358$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.39 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 935.68$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 934.14$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.12 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 888.65$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.1 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 864.89$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.86 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed VfB Stuttgart | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed VfB Stuttgart | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 706.42$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.34 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked VfB Stuttgart | 78c | 632.56$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.4 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked VfB Stuttgart | 55c | 622.92$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.5 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed FC Bayern München | 41c | 506.5$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed FC Bayern München | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed VfB Stuttgart | 55c | 451.91$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.55 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 407.9$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.11 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 407.9$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.11 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 373.52$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.23 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 359.34$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.86 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked VfB Stuttgart | 55c | 333$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed VfB Stuttgart | 46c | 320.72$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed FC Bayern München | 24c | 296.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed VfB Stuttgart | 53c | 250.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 248.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed FC Bayern München | 80c | 247.64$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…f62bbacked VfB Stuttgart | 56c | 217.32$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked FC Bayern München | 22c | 216.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…3458backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 203.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 196.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…62f8backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 181.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 163.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 160.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…f5ecbacked FC Bayern München | 48c | 158.74$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked FC Bayern München | 49c | 152.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.69 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked VfB Stuttgart | 14c | 152.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…7e1dbacked VfB Stuttgart | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…2bc1backed FC Bayern München | 40c | 125.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed VfB Stuttgart | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…1665backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 118.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 116.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked FC Bayern München | 47c | 116$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed VfB Stuttgart | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed VfB Stuttgart | 53c | 103.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed FC Bayern München | 63c | 102.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked FC Bayern München | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked FC Bayern München | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked VfB Stuttgart | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed VfB Stuttgart | 74c | 95.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 93.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed FC Bayern München | 75c | 90.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed FC Bayern München | 39c | 89.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed VfB Stuttgart | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed FC Bayern München | 22c | 82.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed VfB Stuttgart | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f325backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 78.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed FC Bayern München | 44c | 74.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 70.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 67.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…a7c2backed FC Bayern München | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed FC Bayern München | 48c | 62.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed FC Bayern München | 49c | 60.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed VfB Stuttgart | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked FC Bayern München | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…e84dbacked VfB Stuttgart | 57c | 56.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked VfB Stuttgart | 51c | 56.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked VfB Stuttgart | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed VfB Stuttgart | 54c | 54.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked VfB Stuttgart | 54c | 54.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked FC Bayern München | 45c | 52.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)this page
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.