Bundesliga · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfd6ba572bcf2f5b72388c48b6108a4deca4923b1a18240b672dfb059382533f

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $65,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,232 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over	59c	17,759$10,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,202.13	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.1wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	41c	8,219$3,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,371.89	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over	58c	7,578$4,405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,172.91	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over	61c	4,597$2,804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,793.09	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	41c	4,008$1,663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,663.05	698	51.9%362 W · 336 L	+22.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Over	59c	2,502$1,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025.86	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+4.5wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	41c	2,259$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.98	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	41c	1,960$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.43	287	55.1%158 W · 129 L	+12.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under	41c	1,829$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.89	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	39c	1,819$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.58	435	32.2%140 W · 295 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over	58c	1,800$1,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.98	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	41c	1,499$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.9	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	60c	1,221$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.5	550	58.7%323 W · 227 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	40c	1,215$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.5	172	47.1%81 W · 91 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	40c	1,208$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.25	208	45.7%95 W · 113 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under	47c	1,140$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.62	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	41c	1,101$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449	213	55.4%118 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	67c	1,099$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.14	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under	26c	978$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.28	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	41c	964.3$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.54	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under	37c	927.52$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.18	50	30%15 W · 35 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	41c	890.9$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.83	298	55.4%165 W · 133 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	41c	856.42$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.57	420	46.4%195 W · 225 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under	41c	700.35$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.44	84	48.8%41 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under	41c	617.33$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.08	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	43c	581.03$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.96	481	41.8%201 W · 280 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under	44c	550.23$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.59	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-7.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	40c	547.82$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.77	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over	59c	495.95$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.34	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+5.2wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+25%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over	61c	490$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.1	23	73.9%17 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	62cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	40c	483.12$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.01	177	49.7%88 W · 89 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	40c	483.12$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.01	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	40c	483.12$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.01	205	48.3%99 W · 106 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under	40c	483.12$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.01	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Under	39c	481.7$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.86	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	55c	389.04$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.57	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under	43c	367$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.81	109	43.1%47 W · 62 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under	40c	359.33$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.73	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-7.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over	60c	330$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	39c	323$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.97	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under	40c	322.22$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.89	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under	46c	312.33$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.18	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under	39c	302$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.78	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over	60c	292.8$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.12	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	40c	291.61$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.64	215	40.9%88 W · 127 L	-15.5wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under	40c	289.2$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.68	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over	59c	267$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.8	54	66.7%36 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under	41c	254$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.14	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over	61c	247.55$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.54	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under	39c	244$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.36	106	47.2%50 W · 56 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	40c	241$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.4	185	54.1%100 W · 85 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under	40c	241$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.4	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	41c	235.36$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.5	152	44.1%67 W · 85 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under	39c	213.44$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.14	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under	39c	200.42$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.93	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Under	39c	198.01$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.97	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.8wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Over	60c	195.2$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.08	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5e…4e0cbacked Over	60c	191.95$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.78	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	41c	171.84$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.05	1,083	50.8%550 W · 533 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over	61c	168.1$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.56	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under	40c	167.29$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.92	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under	50c	166.67$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.7	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under	39c	160$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.83	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under	40c	158.99$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.37	210	51.4%108 W · 102 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	40c	151.35$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.54	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under	41c	148.94$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.66	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	45c	146.03$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.97	640	43.9%281 W · 359 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under	40c	137.07$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.83	144	47.9%69 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Under	43c	135.19$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.13	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.4wins	+0.26per pick	51cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	59c	132.26$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.23	108	63%68 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…ba40backed Under	33c	130.88$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.19	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under	42c	129.23$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.28	98	50%49 W · 49 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under	40c	120.5$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.2	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-32%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under	40c	120.5$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.2	123	46.3%57 W · 66 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	55c	104.85$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.4	147	55.8%82 W · 65 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	41c	102.11$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.87	330	47.3%156 W · 174 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under	41c	97.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.17	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under	40c	88.54$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.33	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	39c	84.14$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.15	817	32.8%268 W · 549 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef5d…12e7backed Over	58c	84.03$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Over	60c	76.45$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.58	39	76.9%30 W · 9 L	+4.8wins	+0.12per pick	65cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Under	40c	72.3$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.92	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd221…58a9backed Under	40c	72.3$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Under	40c	72.3$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.92	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under	40c	72.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.69	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over	59c	71.42$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.96	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed Under	42c	70.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	40c	68.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.57	1,355	50.9%690 W · 665 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	38c	65.75$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.1	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…d413backed Under	46c	63.1$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.03	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3708…7c65backed Under	40c	60.25$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under	40c	60.25$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under	33c	60$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under	40c	58.8$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7569…ac76backed Under	38c	58.3$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.14	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Over	61c	56.03$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.85	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under	42c	53.52$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.46	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5this page
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5Over won
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Over won
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5Over won
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)VfB Stuttgart won
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)FC Bayern München won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event