TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7333…d413

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT4852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.31
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+124%+$48.19
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.37
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.08
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.55
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$44.76
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.05
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.02
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.52
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.19
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.98
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.78
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.33
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.89
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.74
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$57.98
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$143.01
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$29.65
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.84
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.83
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.42
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$111.45
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.1
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$58.46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$81.92
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.85
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.09
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.92
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.25
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$41.93
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.38
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Crystal Palace FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. AEK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick56cpaid-69.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.