La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3130e0d0009e4c15b95d12e7a128c7db237ff1f7878b86e088b89170efad8f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 44c | 109,941$48,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,708.3 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 55c | 23,100$12,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,704.98 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 16,760$7,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,202.06 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 11,490$6,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,380.73 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 9,334$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.56 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 56c | 9,191$5,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.35 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,480 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Under | 58c | 5,694$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.26 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 56c | 4,974$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.29 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0e…718cbacked Under | 56c | 4,889$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Over | 45c | 3,831$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.06 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 3,242$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.14 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 56c | 3,125$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.31 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 2,767$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.44 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 2,410$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.71 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 56c | 2,410$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.71 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 2,074$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.41 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.95 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 45c | 1,754$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 46cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…debdbacked Under | 56c | 1,671$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 56c | 1,671$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.86 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 64c | 1,610$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.41 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 52c | 1,278$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.82 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 1,194$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.66 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 56c | 1,161$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 79c | 1,050$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.42 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 28c | 1,030$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.02 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 56c | 1,023$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.38 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…2941backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.22 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 937$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 55c | 895$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.25 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 57c | 861.65$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.95 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 48c | 848.42$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.54 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 774.98$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.24 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 56c | 752.14$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.56 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 715.65$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.79 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 40c | 602.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 45c | 575.69$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.63 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 56c | 542.6$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.81 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 57c | 538.81$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.58 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 57c | 525.78$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.5 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 79c | 509.53$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Over | 47c | 490.64$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.13 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 36c | 480.8$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.71 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 57c | 453.49$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.88 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 44c | 443.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.32 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 56c | 420$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 56c | 420$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 128 | 63.3%81 W · 47 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 50c | 408.3$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 56c | 405.42$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.04 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 43c | 393.69$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.44 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Under | 73c | 376.66$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.55 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 42c | 373.76$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.78 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 56c | 370$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 42c | 368.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.65 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 3c | 349.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +203%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 56c | 338.64$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.52 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 313.58$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.61 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…aee9backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 91 | 63.7%58 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 42c | 268.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.02 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 57c | 261.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.06 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Under | 56c | 259.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed Over | 79c | 249.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 42c | 232.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Over | 41c | 225.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 42c | 224.47$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 6c | 222.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 220.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 58c | 205.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 58c | 194.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 56c | 184.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Under | 24c | 178.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.