La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1002ad8916351e69c3b9cdd287f7c0335f346a838c1f97f5a5a5467ead805422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 4,931$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.84 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 72c | 3,514$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.95 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 33c | 1,452$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.24 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 1,231$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.92 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 1,138$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.6 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 47c | 900$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 37c | 780.75$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.09 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 521.72$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 32c | 400.84$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 78c | 379.54$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 58c | 369.81$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.29 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 58c | 369.81$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.29 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed Under | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…e46cbacked Over | 26c | 286.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 64c | 243.66$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.68 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 21c | 235.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 460 | 40.9%188 W · 272 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Under | 51c | 209.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 38c | 191.57$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 54c | 134.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 39c | 129.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…f5ddbacked Under | 40c | 107.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 24c | 99.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 65c | 88.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 62c | 79.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 34c | 79.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7c…41c1backed Under | 61c | 72.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Over | 33c | 68.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 61c | 67.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fff…76e6backed Under | 69c | 66.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 48c | 66.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 46c | 63.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 56c | 59.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Over | 37c | 54.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 64c | 45.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…5c17backed Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…9ce6backed Over | 44c | 43.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 74c | 42.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 58c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 37c | 34.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…9806backed Under | 79c | 33.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…17dabacked Under | 79c | 33.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 67c | 32.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 53c | 30.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Under | 35c | 30.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae5…fd08backed Over | 37c | 29.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…c36ebacked Under | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Over | 53c | 19.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…7132backed Under | 77c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.